We rate each pick 1 to 5 units with 5 being the strongest play (read about units).
Risk 1% of your bankroll per unit (never risk more than 5% of total bankroll on any pick).

Game: Illinois State at Creighton (3:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 2 units on Creighton -10

Illinois State lost to this Creighton team last year 52-71 and this could be a similar result. Illinois State is scoring just 62 per game on the road and in their two conference games, they have managed an average of 45. Creighton's defense is very good and should be able to stifle Illinois State here. Illinois State is 2-9 ATS the past two seasons following a loss and 4-12 ATS following a game in which they scored 55 or less. Creighton is very tough at home and we like them to win by double digits here.

This could be a preview of the MVC Championship Game, but regardless it is a preview of two NCAA tourney bound teams. Both these teams have the talent of major conference teams, and the one thing that matters most in this one is where this game is being played. S. Illinois has won 51 of their last 54 at home. Wichita St. is not one of those teams that has won here. They have dropped 8 in a row in this building, and none of those games were under this point-spread, including a 58-49 game last year. S. Illinois will be ready to take on a ranked opponent even more-so, and we see them coming away with the money in this one.