Free Ncaa Basketball Pick - February 24, 2010

We went 1-2 yesterday on the CBB hardwood for a slight loss.  We look to get that back tonight and add to our two and a half month record of 165-143 for +32.7 units.  Today we have seven CBB picks, including three 4 unit selections.

WUNDERDOG 2010 RECENT RESULTS ($100/bet)
SPORT	WINS-LOSSES	%	NET
NFL	46-29 last 75 picks	61%	+$4060
CFB	25-10 last 35 picks	71%	+$6040
MLB	265-219 last 484 picks	55%	+$8370
CBB	165-143 last 308 picks	54%	+$3270
NBA	31-26 last 57 picks	54%	+$1350
NHL	255-177 last 432 picks	59%	+$15920
WNBA	121-90 last 211 picks	57%	+$5490
TOTAL			+$44500

Today's NCAA Basketball Picks:

Game: Depaul at Cincinnati (7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on Depaul +14 (-110) (risk 4 to win 3.6)

The last Blue Demon road win in conference play goes all the way back to March of 2008, just about two years ago. That win, by the way, came in Cincinnati. Needless to say the Demons have been the Big East doormat for the past couple of years. That comes with an inflated price and, like many bad teams, as the season progresses they get better while the perception remains unchanged. Here is a team that has played on the road against arguably better teams than Cincinnati in Marquette, Villonova, Notre Dame, Uconn and Pitt.  They have never been this large a dog, so the value is certainly here especially when you consider the fact they took down four of the five large numbers vs the teams mentioned above.  We have a huge overlay here and I'm going with DePaul in this one.

The Davidson Wildcats became such a public darling over the last few years with some big time teams, however this isn't one of them as their woes continue. To complicate matters, the oddsmakers continue to purposely over-value this team because of public perception. That has led to Davidson turning in a 2-11 ATS mark in their last 13 games. Their last six losses have seen four of them come in games where they were posted as a favorite. There is another problem they are facing. Since it says Davidson on the uniform, they are getting every team's "A" game because they have been beaten to death by Davidson.  Only this year they can compete with them. No upset here, but I like NC Greensboro to stay inside another inflated number imposed on the Wildcats.

The Tribe is a big surprise in the Colonial Conference as they sit at 19-8 with a stellar 10-2 mark at home. They have also won four straight in conference play. Towson St. stands at 7-20 on the season and just 2-11 on the road. They have been extremely uncompetitive on the road vs some of the CAA's top teams. In addition to that, Towson has lost by a total of 128 points in their last four road losses, or by 32 points per game, making the apparent large number put on the Tribe here very doable. The Tigers are just 1-7 ATS in their last eight vs a team with a winning straight up record. I'll go with William & Mary here to pin another huge loss on Towson.

How the mighty have fallen. The LSU Tigers were expected to have a dropoff, but they have fallen a lot further than anyone could have predicted. The Tigers come in here 0-12 in SEC play, and have lost by an average margin of 13.7ppg. They hardly deserve to be just a two point dog here, when they have played competitively in the conference on very few occasions. Arkansas pounded this team by 37 points in the first meeting and I'm not sure if a team that lost by over 30 ever came back to win the rematch in the SEC, which they will virtually have to do here at only +2. The Razorbacks are making a living on poor teams, sporting a 7-1 ATS mark vs teams with a winning percentage below .400. Tigers stand just 2-8 ATS in their last ten at home, so what was once a tough spot to play has been negated by the lack of talent. Arkansas gets this one.

This one looks a bit high to me as the first meeting between these clubs put up 169 points and the total here is set three points higher. The problem is this Houston team has lost that offensive efficiency when they played Memphis and Marshall in back-to-back games. The Cougars have failed to put up numbers resembling those since, topping off at 74 in their last six and averaging a much lower 64 ppg! That certainly opens some eyes looking at a 150+ total here, that does not look in reach. Tigers have played 6-2 to the UNDER as a favorite of up to 6.5 in their last eight, while the Cougars are 17-5 to the UNDER in their last 22 overall. I like the UNDER in this one.

The Rebels have been dancing on the bubble at 17-9 on the season and can not take any game lightly from this point on as wins are crucial. They have lost five of their last six, but handled this Auburn team by ten on the road. The Tigers have had their problems on the road and have a losing record on the season overall at 13-14. The Rebels need a big win, so the focus here is a given and their track record as a 7-12.5 point favorite has been money, where they are 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine. This one might look close, but the Reb's here the alarm sounding and, simply put, with their "A" game at 10+ points are better than Auburn at home. I'll go with Mississippi here.

Marshall is 20-2 on the season discounting a five game losing streak when this team suddenly hit the wall. Overall, it has been a great year for the Herd. This team lost focus during that five game slide and did not defend the way they have the rest of the season. The Herd is back to winning and have logged five straight for the win column.  The defense is the reason, holding each of the last two opponents to under 60. Rice is down this season with a lot of difficulty scoring, topping the 70 point mark just one time in conference play, not including overtime. Marshall has taken the defense on the road, but the offense has been less effective leading to a 10-3 UNDER mark in their last 13 on the road. Rice against the better teams have now played 36-14-1 in their last 51 games vs an opponent with a winning percentage of over .600. I'll play this one UNDER the total.

Results: 4-3

NCAA Basketball Picks Resources:

• Check out our updated free NCAA basketball predictions.
• Don't forget to read our college basketball prior picks here.
• Check out march madness brackets here.
• View NCAA basketball gambling philosophy here.
• Check out NCAA basketball lines and odds here.
• Take a look at our blog college basketball picks here.
• View our updated NCAA basketball sportsbooks.
• Updated today: college basketball Game-of-Day-Preview.
• Read our ncaa march madness pick here.
• Hop over to our 2009 NCAA basketball picks here.
• View 2009 college basketball season preivew here.
• View college basketball ATS recrds here.

Check out the last five NCAA Basketball Picks Newsletters:

NCAA-Basketball-Picks-February-23-2010
The Monarchs had a huge opportunity on Bracket Buster Saturday to add to the resume, but failed to get it done vs. Northern Iowa. It was their third road loss in their last four games, and the three l...

NCAA-Basketball-Picks-February-22-2010
The Davidson Wildcats have caught the public eye. Despite a lean rebuilding season, the oddsmakers realize that they are still a public favorite, and quite often find themselves on the lesser side of ...

NCAA-Basketball-Picks-February-21-2010
Nova comes in here ranked No. 3 in the country. Despite losing six straight in this arena, the Wildcats are favored. I like them the get it done. The last time these teams met, Scottie Reynolds nailed...

NCAA-Basketball-Picks-February-20-2010
The Davidson Wildcats have enjoyed the limelight over the past few years, and that has made them a public favorite. It is hard not to visualize their big NCAA Tournament wins against some heavyweights...

NCAA-Basketball-Picks-February-19-2010
Both of these teams have NCAA dance aspirations and the winner gets a quality win, which they will need in case they are not their conference champion. Similar matchups in the past have really perplex...