We rate each pick 1 to 5 units with 5 being the strongest play (read about units).
Risk 1% of your bankroll per unit (never risk more than 5% of total bankroll on any pick).

Game: Tennessee at Arkansas (1:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Arkansas -4

Tennessee has really struggled trying to find answers on the road. They have been getting progressively worse as the season wears on. They have dropped their last seven road games, and the closest they have come in the last four is 14 point loss! Arkansas has been great at home posting a 14-3 mark, coming off an ATS loss they have been 10-2 ATS. Tennessee is also just 5-13 ATS as a road dog of 6.5 points or less in their last 18 games.

North Carolina State and Florida State are both trying to keep from sinking deeper into the ACC basement. NC ST at 4-9 has won just twice on the road all season, while Florida St. is at 5-9 in conference play and has an impressive 14-3 record on their home-court. Florida St. has dominated the Wolf Pack at home, as they have covered the last four of five. Today we look for a convincing double-digit win. Lay the points.

This total is a direct result of a game these teams played earlier in the season that saw them put up 190 points. We don't expect that this time around. Cal-Poly isn't the scoring team in this match-up, that role belongs to Cal-Fullerton. They started the year averaging 86-points per game (PPG) in their first 17 games, but has since dropped off significantly to 76-ppg over their last eight games. That is a 10 point offensive drop. We will ride that to the UNDER in this one.

Most teams go through the season and hit the wall at some point. Michigan State hit it a few weeks ago, but now has won three straight by double digits and are rolling again. Indiana lost 4 of their first 18 games, and now has lost four of their last eight. Indiana has been awful on the road at 3-7. Michigan St. has one of the toughest home-courts in the country, ask Wisconsin who brought their No.1 ranking in here and lost by nine points. Give the points here.

Hawaii got off to a fast start, but could not win on the road, until recently. They have now gone 2-2 in their last four road games. The losses were to Utah State and Nevada. San Jose State is just a horrible team at 4-23. They don't really have much of a home-court advantage playing in front of 1500-2000 per home game. It shows in their 3-6 home record, but it isn't just the court and the fans, it’s the team, and this has been a long year for San Jose St. Hawaii can sniff another confidence building road win, and they get it here.