College Basketball
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February 22, 2007
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darrell,
After some close losses we finished 2-3 yesterday in CBB. Feeling a bit snake-bitten right now as we were three total points away from a 4-1 night. We lost the North Carolina game by a single point and the Southern Illinois OVER by two points. We were 2-1 on the night in NBA. We're hitting 60% (36-24) over our last 60 college basketball plays. Three selections today.
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We rate each pick 1 to 5 units with 5 being the strongest play (read about units).
Risk 1% of your bankroll per unit (never risk more than 5% of total bankroll on any pick).
Game: Ul Lafayette at Florida Int. (5:30 PM Eastern) Pick: 2 units on Florida Int. -3
Florida International is coming off back-to-back two-point wins, and have to be feeling good about coming home to a Louisiana Lafayette team that is just 2-12 on the road. They beat a horrible Denver team on the road for just their second road win and haven't collected back-to-back road wins this season, and we don't see them picking up one here. Fla. Int. lost by just three points on the road to this team and we look for them to win this one comfortably at home.
Game: Arkansas St. at N. Texas (8:00 PM Eastern) Pick: 2 units on Arkansas St. +8
Arkansas State got off to a tough 4-7 start, but have played much better since, having gone 10-7. North Texas has been good all year, but seems to be hitting the wall, as four of their last five games have been decided by five points or less. Arkansas State has been an impressive 7-1 ATS vs. teams that are .600 or higher, so they save their best basketball for the good teams. N. Texas has really struggled as a favorite having gone just 6-14 ATS over their last 20 games. Arkansas St. beat N. Texas by 24 points at home, so they will be confident coming into this one.
Game: San Jose St. at Boise St. (9:00 PM Eastern) Pick: 2 units on San Jose St. +11.5
San Jose State is the perfect value team. They stand at 4-22, and it looks like one of the worst teams in basketball, but they have certainly been getting way more points than they should and we will take advantage of that. This team hasn't been able to put much in the win column, but they manage to stay in almost every game. They lost at top 10 ranked Nevada by eight points, and 20+ win N. Mexico State by six. They have also covered six of their last eight as a double-digit dog. Boise State has won seven of nine, but in the process have been just the opposite. They have been over-priced by the odds-makers, going just 2-5 ATS in their last seven games. We will take the road team and the bushel of points here.
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The Wunderdog
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