We rate each pick 1 to 5 units with 5 being the strongest play (read about units).
Risk 1% of your bankroll per unit (never risk more than 5% of total bankroll on any pick).

Game: Dartmouth at Penn (7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total UNDER 140 -110

Penn will be coming home for the first time this Ivy season off a loss to Yale. There are extreme givens in the Ivy League year after year. Penn will likely be among the highest scoring team in Ivy games and Princeton will be among the bottom. It often equates to an opportunity for playing the total in Penn games as they are usually inflated because they are a team that is more conventional and can score. The problem for OVER bettors is when the line is -15 or higher for these games, the visitor has averaged just 51.8 ppg over the last 16 games. That means Penn would have to score 89, a feat they have only accomplished twice in the last nine years at home in the Ivy! Penn has actually reached 80 points on just eight occasions in their last 38 at home as a double digit favorite. When the line has been 15+ in Penn Ivy games, the combined scores have averaged 125.9 and just four times in 27 games has there been 140+ points scored. Lots of value here in the UNDER.

Are these two teams just five points apart? Not even close. Let's look at play vs. common opponents this season. Niagara has gone 5-5 SU and 6-4 ATS. St. Peters in contrast has gone 1-11 SU and 4-7 ATS. Versus these common opponents, Niagara has scored a full 21 points per game more than St. Peters. When these two teams met on January 3, Niagara won by 33 points. Sure, that was a home game and this is on the road, but what we can see here is that Niagara is WAY better than St. Peters and having to lay just 5 points is a gift. St. Peters is 3-20 on the season and 2-8 at home. Against the spread, they are winless at home. Niagara is a winning road team that has gone 8-4 ATS away from home. With Joe Mihalich as head coach, Niagara is 15-5 ATS on the road vs. losing teams in late-season play. St. Peters is 5-22 ATS their last 22 home games as an underdog. They are also 0-6 ATS the past two seasons at home vs. winning teams.

Offense vs. defense - which will prevail? Princeton is a low scoring team but that style of play can catch up with them. They have put up 35, 41, 35 and 48 in their last four games. They have lost five straight games SU and ATS. This season, after scoring 60 or less for three straight games, they are 2-8 ATS. Those five losses were on the road and they do return home here. But ten points is too much. Harvard, in Ivy play hasn't laid more than 3.5 so far. Their last double-digit spread game was against Providence on December 22nd when they got 18.5 and covered. This season vs. common Ivy opponents, Harvard has fared better posting a 3-2 SU and 2-2 ATS mark compared to Princeton's 1-4 SU and 0-4 ATS record. Harvard is 5-4 on the road this season. Their biggest weakness is defense or lack thereof but tonight they face a team that averages just 50 ppg (43.5 in conference games). We look for Harvard to keep this one closer than 10.