Basketball Predictions - February 04, 2010

We are 98-46 for 68% on 5-unit NBA, NHL and college hoops plays this season and we have another today.

Last night we took it to the books, going 5-2. Last night's winner lifted us to 129-105 for +56 units over the last two months.

Today we hit the CBB floor hard with 10 picks including a 5-unit and a 4-unit play.

WUNDERDOG 2010 RECENT RESULTS ($100/bet)
SPORT	WINS-LOSSES	%	NET
NFL	45-29 last 74 picks	61%	+$3880
CFB	25-10 last 35 picks	71%	+$6040
MLB	265-219 last 484 picks	55%	+$8370
CBB	129-105 last 234 picks	55%	+$5560
NHL	243-158 last 401 picks	61%	+$18570
WNBA	121-90 last 211 picks	57%	+$5490
TOTAL			+$47910

Today's NCAA Basketball Picks:

Game: Kent State at Eastern Michigan (7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Eastern Michigan +3.5 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7)

The Golden Flashes have scored the win in each of their last five, and have turned a poor start into a 10-3 mark over their last 13. Outside of a road win vs. a poor Toledo team, this team has not been so effective on the road. They lost at Miami, Ohio and beat Ohio by just 2 points. They are going to have to play better to beat a surprising Eastern Michigan team that is 8-2 at home on the season. The Eagles had three wins all season a year ago before winning their last four. This year, they are an under the radar team. This team has not topped the 13-win mark in more than a decade, but has logged 11 wins already this season - their best team in a longtime. They have not suffered more than a 3-point loss at home all season, and I like them in this spot as a home dog.

Bobby Cremins is a very good recruiter and has endured the rigors of the ACC while at Georgia Tech. He has assembled a very good team in Charleston, one that knocked off North Carolina. Carolina’s First Arena has become a big advantage where the Cougars are 8-0 on the season. They are getting over 5,000 fans per night here. UT Chattanooga has already been blown out five times on the road this season, and the Moccasins are just 4-10 ATS in their last 14 as a dog of 7-12.5. The Cougars are playing well and improving, and are now 9-2 ATS in their last 11. I'll go with Charleston here.

Ball State is far removed from their glory days in the NCAA Tournament, but they are still playing effectively, especially at home where they are 8-3. Their last six overall shows five wins and just a 4-point loss, so they are definitely on improving. The Falcons had a nice 5-1 ATS run, but the before and after place them in a bad spot at just 3-9 ATS. They have already suffered five double-digit losses on the road, where they have not been very effective. The Cards have been outplaying Mid-American teams as they improve steadily, and are 6-0 ATS in their last six in conference play. I like them to keep marching and get the win and cover here.

The Blue Raiders have notched four wins in a row, but does that mask their 6-10 start vs. Div-1 programs? I don't believe it does. Troy’s road mark does not look healthy, but they took on UAB, Florida, Auburn and Houston on the road, so overall they aren't as bad as those games make their 3-7 road mark look. They have won three of their last four, and have a top PG in Michael Vogler who has logged 128 assists and 47 steals already. They also have a go-to player in Brandon Hazzard at 17points per game and connecting on over 40% from 3. The men from Troy have three other sharpshooters that are also connecting at over 40%, and this game looks like a game that could go either way down the stretch, so the points look big here, so I'll back troy.

Wright State has had to play second fiddle to Butler in the Horizon, but that isn't so bad. The Raiders stand in at 14-8, but are really playing well right now winning their last two games by a combined 54 points, and are playing 10 points per game over the line in the two. Valparaiso has cashed their last five and is playing well, but Wright St. won at home against this team by just 2 - taking them lightly, so I look for them to raise their level of play here. The Raiders have built off an ATS win by following at 16-6-2 ATS, and the road team has covered six of the last seven in this series. I'll go with Wright St. here to get it done on the road.

Both of these teams enter tonight's game with identical 8-12 marks on the season. The Aggies have dropped four of their last six, escaping a fifth loss with a narrow 2-point win at home vs. UC Irvine. The story has been a bit different for Cal-Poly who opened the season with five straight losses, but have been an above .500 team since. They also got the better of the Aggies at home along the way. The Mustangs have failed to cover just one of their last nine vs. a team with a losing record, while Cal Davis has cashed just one of their last five as home chalk. The road team has taken the money in each of the last four, so I'll go with Cal-Poly here.

Looking at this game I see a Cal-Poly team that has been better despite the identical records as the Mustangs started in the hole at 0-5 and have been above the .500 mark since, besting the Aggies this season in the process. This game is a complete toss-up, and the moneyline sports a great advantage, tilting the value towards the visitor in this one. I like Cal-Poly to get it done on the road and will play them on the moneyline.

The San Francisco Dons may have pulled one of the biggest surprises of the year, beating Gonzaga in their last game. The Dons should be brimming with confidence here, facing a Toreros team that is a far cry from the one taking UConn down in the NCAA tournament a couple of years ago. The Toreros came out of the gate at 4-1, but have really crashed and burned since, going just 5-13. They have been big losers to the number as well, cashing just four of their last 15, and are now just 2-10-1 ATS in their last 13 vs. a team with a losing record. I'll go with San Francisco here.

The Pac-10 is really down this year. Two teams that are usually in the spotlight, Stanford and UCLA, are both way down. The question is who has fallen further, and the answer is Stanford. The Cardinal has not won a road game all season, but the rest of the story is their lack of competitiveness as they are also 1-7 ATS. The Bruins have young, talented players beginning to take shape, and what was once a team that was 3-7, has been 8-5 in their last 13. The Bruins are taking care of poor road teams at Pauley, where they are 8-3 ATS vs. teams with a road winning percentage of .400 or less. This one goes to the Bruins.

Gonzaga suffered a lot of losses from last year. They certainly have the talent to be good, but also the inexperience to have a much tighter margin for error, and it showed on the road vs. San Francisco, but this has been in the works for a couple of weeks. The youth of Gonzaga is fragile and four straight no-covers, and an inexcusable loss point to what is between their ears, and not what is on the court. This team is having confidence issues and Portland is talented enough to exploit that as the Pilots lost to the Bulldogs at home by just 3. The Pilots were winners at UCLA, Oregon and Minnesota and a close call vs. Gonzaga suggests that they can hang tight here. I'll go with Portland in this one.

Results: 4-6

NCAA Basketball Picks Resources:

• View free NCAA basketball picks here.
• Hop over to our NCAA basketball picks here.
• Check out ncaa tournament picks here.
• View our updated how to bet NCAA basketball.
• Read our college basketball lines here.
• Don't forget to read our blog NCAA basketball picks here.
• View our sportsbook reviews NCAA basketball here.
• Check out our updated NCAA basketball Game-of-Day-Preview.
• View our updated march madness pick.
• View 2009 NCAA basketball pick results here.
• Check out 2009 season NCAA basketball gambling preview here.
• Here we show our college basketball ATS standings.

Check out the last five NCAA Basketball Picks Newsletters:

NCAA-Basketball-Picks-February-03-2010
Georgia State has proven to be a tough out at home where they have averaged 69 points per game on the season. George Mason has really picked it up on the offensive end where they have scored 80 ppg ov...

NCAA-Basketball-Picks-February-02-2010
The Blue Hens have not done a lot of winning on the season, logging just one in their last nine games. They did take Northeastern by surprise on the road as the Huskies won by just 4 on their home cou...

NCAA-Basketball-Picks-January-31-2010
The Tigers have dropped three in a row but they are 9-2 at home where they have won games by an average of 18 points per game. Their only two stumbles were against Illinois, losing by two in early Dec...

NCAA-Basketball-Picks-January-30-2010
The Indiana Hoosiers have made some strides, but this is a program that is far from their level of expectation. They are not on the level of the rigors of the Big-10 Conference, especially on the road...

NCAA-Basketball-Picks-January-29-2010
The Harvard Crimson has really stepped up and is not an Ivy League caliber team - they are much better. This is a team that had UConn on the ropes at Storrs before losing by just 6, and followed on th...