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Ncaa Bracket Predictions - February 02, 2008

We finished 2-1 for +2.4 units, for another winning night. With the win we are now winning at 62% (126-76) for +68.1 units over the last five weeks.

Five plays today including a 4-unit pick. Over that five-week stretch, our top-rated plays (4 and 5-unit picks) are 51-17.

WUNDERDOG 2008 RECENT RESULTS ($100/bet)
SPORTWINS-LOSSES%NET
CBB 126-76 last 202 picks 62%+$6810
NBA 14-12 last 26 picks 54%+$320
NHL 28-21 last 49 picks 57%+$3190
TOTAL  +$10320

Today's NCAA Basketball Picks:

Game: Florida at Arkansas (3:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Arkansas -4 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7)

This young Gator team has only ventured out on the road four times all season, and has found out life is different on the road as they have met two losses and a narrow escape in those four games. The Gators shoot over 50% on the season, but hold on! They are connecting on just 43% on the road and just 32% from behind the arc. Florida’s numbers look good, due to so much home cookin’, but the reality is the road has been completely different. They have yielded 53%, and 54% in their two road contests in the SEC. Arkansas is very tough at home, as witnessed by 20-point drubbing of Mississippi State. The Razorbacks are allowing under 40% at home and Florida hasn't found the nets as friendly on the road. Arkansas will deliver another blow to the Gators’ road woes.


Game: Saint John's at South Florida (7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on South Florida -5 (-110) (risk 4 to win 3.6)

Saint John's is really struggling to find their way. They have yet to find the win column on the road and are shooting just 41% on the season. The offense is Anthony Mason Jr., and four guys standing around. It has led to 296 turnovers to just 203 assists - one of the worst ratios in college basketball. South Florida has proven one thing, and that is they can't play at home against the upper half of the conference, but they sure can play anyone else. This team can move the ball much better and execute its offense better than St. John's, and also has the interior option, where St. John's gets limited looks. We would be surprised if St. John's can hang within double-digits here. Bulls in a rout!


Game: Drake at Indiana State (7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Indiana State +3 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7)

Drake is on an impressive 18-0 run and certainly has the look of a dangerous mid-major come tourney time. Conference play has been tilted in their favor with six of their last nine games on the home hardwood. They have shown lots of vulnerability on the road, as their last three games has been decided by OT, one point and three points. Indiana State is two different basketball teams. On the road they have been 1-10, getting blown out in virtually every game, but at home they have played like a top 25 team standing at 9-0. They hit a lot of their FT's which could be crucial down the stretch (72% as a team). The Sycamores have not failed to cover in their last five as home dog and should be amped up enough to make this one be decided in the closing minutes. Live home dog here.


Game: Bradley at Evansville (8:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Bradley -4 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7)

Bradley had high expectations this season, but most of those disappeared when PG Ruffin went down with an injury. To that point they had lost just four games, with three of them coming against nationally-ranked teams. They proceeded to lose five straight with Ruffin out of the lineup, but he is back, playing full minutes, and suddenly the Braves have run off four straight. They beat Evansville without him at home, despite the Aces sizzling from long range connecting on 11-17 for 65%! You can be sure with Ruffin defending out on the perimeter that won't happen again and the Aces don't have much else. The Purple Aces are just 1-8 in conference play and Bradley presents some value here, as they would be coming in with a much better record than they actually have if Ruffin did not go down. We have seen the Aces output reduced to nothing when the three-pointers don't fall, as witnessed by the 39 total points they scored against Southern Illinois, and 42 against Indiana State. After the bombing in the last match, you can be sure those open looks will disappear in this one and Bradley cruises to their fifth-straight win.


Game: Arizona State at U S C (10:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Arizona State +8 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7)

The injuries are cutting into USC’s depth, and a tough stretch of games may leave them vulnerable against a competent Arizona State team. The Sun Devils are off of a major hiccup against UCLA and will regroup and bring their "A" game to Southern California. Lots of talent on the floor with lots of shooters, and the Sun Devils execute on defensive end as well. USC has played some very tough opponents, and may not bring it against this Sun Devils squad that has lost four straight. Trojans are just 4-4 in their last eight as well, have the marquis names and an inflated line. Too many points, the Sun Devils get the cover here.


Results: 2-3

NCAA Basketball Picks Resources:


Check out the last five NCAA Basketball Picks Newsletters:

NCAA-Basketball-Picks-February-01-2008
It is tough to back a team favored on the road that has gone 4-27 away from home in their last 31 games, especially when two of those games were by two points. The other two were over teams from lower...

NCAA-Basketball-Picks-January-31-2008
Providence has been vulnerable to teams that can bury three-pointers all season. Teams that can score on the perimeter have really crippled the Friars zone, as evidenced by losses to Marquette, Seton ...

NCAA-Basketball-Picks-January-30-2008
This Saint John's team is young and simply not coming together as a unit. They have now dropped seven of eight, and the offense is sluggish at best. The Red Storm shoots just 42%, and a lack of ba...

NCAA-Basketball-Picks-January-29-2008
Austin Peay has put nine of their last eleven in the win column and are playing at a very high level right now. The Governors sit atop the Ohio Valley Conference right now. SE Missouri State sat ...

NCAA-Basketball-Picks-January-28-2008
The Phoenix risen from obscurity with a 15-win season in 05-06. But the "before" and "after" have not been so great. This season they own six wins vs. teams that are a woeful ...

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