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Game: Columbia at Harvard (7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total UNDER 144 -110

Harvard will surely miss Brian Cusworth. He played his last game, after using up his eligibility. Cusworth was averaging 23-ppg in Ivy League play along with shooting well over 50% and pulling down 12 boards. He was also their presence on both ends of the court. Harvard is not a deep team and now they will be missing a lot from both ends of the floor and may take more time to create offense. These teams have played UNDER this number in nine of their last 10 meetings. The Harvard bench was getting about 45 minutes a game and Cusworth was getting 38 minutes. It just means all those bench minutes are gone to fill-in for a missing starter. Harvard will be hard pressed to maintain a 76-ppg offense and especially against a methodical Columbia team that scores just 64-points and allows 62-points. Look for this one to go UNDER the posted total.

Penn has taken over the Ivy League pedestal from Princeton. They seemed to rock back-and-forth but lately Penn has had the largest Ivy League presence. Playing at home they are always laying so many points it is hard to play on them but they have been a cappers treasure on the road. There is an over compensation for Ivy League home teams that just don't enjoy the same advantage as most schools. The odds-makers don't seem to take this into account, as Ivy League home teams have covered just 46% over the past nine years -  lowest of any conference. Penn has taken advantage of this as they never lay as much as they should on the road and have taken the money over 60% of the time. We will ride them here, as they are already 2-0 ATS on the road in Ivy League play.

It will be a battle of wills in this one. Niagara is going to want to push the tempo while Manhattan is going to want to slow things down. Niagara is coming off of playing nine straight OVER games, before Fairfield played them in the 50-point range. Manhattan likes to play in the 60-point range and we have Niagara that plays to an average of 148-ppg. That is just a notch above the 146-points posted here. We don't expect to see this one get to the Niagara average, especially with Manhattan, a team playing much better and winning eight of their last 10 games. Manhattan is 10-4 to the UNDER as a road dog and their tempo keeps this one UNDER. That run includes being a perfect 5-0 on the road in conference play. Niagara has struggled, and Manhattan has won or played very tight at Niagara over the past five years, so we will also play Manhattan who is red-hot.

When anyone thinks of Princeton, they think low scoring games. That is still true but certainly, changes are present. They are not dominating the Ivy League as they once did and are losing with regularity. Seeing a team like Princeton coming off of back-to-back losses, generating just 35-points and 41-points, doesn't make you think OVER. Let's take a look at last year. Take a look at these numbers: 21, 42, 34, 39, 41 and 41. Those were Princeton numbers on offense. Hard to think about OVER isn't it? The fact is eight of 12 games they played went OVER in the Ivy League! The totals have not changed but teams are scoring more against them and they are still in the 50-point range or higher in 10 of 14 Ivy League games. Opponents are in the 50-point range or higher in nine of 14 games. These low totals that are posted under 110, are a product of perception, not Ivy League reality. Princeton is an UNDER team right? Well, they have played 24 of 38 Ivy League games OVER the past three years and when the total is below that pivotal 110? They are 11 OVERS to just four UNDERS! We'll go OVER!