Ncaa Picks - December 31, 2007
We went 3-1 yesterday and sit at 71% over the past week for +21.6 units. Three 4-unit plays today...
Today's NCAA Basketball Picks:
Game: Iona at Vanderbilt (1:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on Game Total OVER 156.5 -110 (risk 4 to win 3.6)
Vandy can secure the best start in school history with a win here. They have the two best scorers in the SEC in Shan Foster and AJ Ogilvy who is just a freshman. Between them they are averaging 40 points per game. They will have a field day here against an Iona club allowing 76.9 ppg on the road. Vanderbilt is averaging 87.4 per game at home and they could get to triple figures here. Iona is 13-4 OVER the past three season vs. good three-point shooting teams and the Commodores are hitting 44.4% on 20 shots per game. Vandy is already 9-2 OVER on the season. They are 12-4 OVER the past two seasons as a home favorite. Yes, this total is posted high, but not high enough.
Game: Dartmouth at Sienna (2:00 PM Eastern)Pick: 4 units on Game Total OVER 149.5 -110 (risk 4 to win 3.6)
Dartmough can't score a lot but they make up for it with lax defense (71.3 ppg allowed in seven road games this season). Siena pours in 80.3 ppg while allowing 77 per game. Dartmouth is coming off a very low-scoring game (59-56 vs. Army but they are 11-3 OVER the past three seasons coming off a low-scoring game (115 points or less). Siena is 11-2 OVER the past two seasons after having won 3+ of their last four games. We like this one to be a score-fest and the total to go OVER.
Game: Utah at Gonzaga (8:00 PM Eastern)Pick: 4 units on Utah +10 (-110) (risk 4 to win 3.6)
Utah will come to Spokane on a 3 game winning streak. The utes are connecting on 51.1% from the floor, and certainly have the fire-power to stay close in this one. The Utes are also a very good perimeter team, connecting on over 41% from 3, and they also hit 76% of their FT's, with 4 of 5 starters over 80%. Gonzaga does not have that go-to player they have had for years, but instead are getting a balance of scoring from all starters, but just don't have the weapons they are used to having. The teams overall shooting is down from what we have come to expect from this team. Gonzaga already has 4 losses, and 3 close calls, so things aren't what they have been in the past. How much different is the Gonzaga offense this season? The last 10 years Gonzaga has averaged being #18.5 in FG shooting percentage, and has never been out of the top 38. This season they are currently #132! Hard to see this team beating a top shooting team, that makes almost all their FT's, by double-digits, so we will ride Utah here.
Results: 2-1
NCAA Basketball Picks Resources:
Check out the last five NCAA Basketball Picks Newsletters:
NCAA-Basketball-Picks-December-30-2007
Air Force travels cross-country here to face a Wake team that is a perfect 7-0 at home and coming off three straight wins. The Demon Deacons have won 11 in a row at home dating back to last season. Ai...
NCAA-Basketball-Picks-December-29-2007
Vanderbilt games have been soring over the total this year but we like this one to come in UNDER. Tennesee Martin is shoting 36.4% from the field on the road. Overall they are averaging 40.5% vs. oppo...
NCAA-Basketball-Picks-December-28-2007
The Saints opened slowly but have caught fire. They have three solid scorers in Hasbrouck, Ubiles and Franklin, all averaging over 15 ppg. St. Joesph's has done a good job so far, but their b...
NCAA-Basketball-Picks-December-27-2007
Tennessee Tech started out 1-5 vs. weak competition. They have won three of their last six, but when facing solid competition, they can't stay close. They lost by 28 to Florida, 17 to Oregon State...
NCAA-Basketball-Picks-December-26-2007
It has been an injury plagued start for Louisville. Throw in a suspension, and this team has really struggled to find an identity. That could be bad news for Morehead State because this is a frustrate...
