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Ncaa March Madness - December 28, 2009

In the month of December across all sports, we are 191-120 (61%) for +187 units.

We hit with our lone pick yesterday and are sitting at 47-38 over the last three weeks for +20 units. Three more premium plays today.

WUNDERDOG 2009 RECENT RESULTS ($100/bet)
SPORTWINS-LOSSES%NET
NFL 37-17 last 54 picks 69%+$5240
CFB 11-4 last 15 picks 73%+$2100
MLB 265-219 last 484 picks 55%+$8370
CBB 47-38 last 85 picks 55%+$1980
NBA 24-15 last 39 picks 62%+$2000
NHL 176-98 last 274 picks 64%+$18830
WNBA 121-90 last 211 picks 57%+$5490
TOTAL  +$44010

Today's NCAA Basketball Picks:

Game: Wake Forest at N C Greensboro (7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Wake Forest -15.5 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7)

8-2 meets 2-8 and I expect this one to get ugly. Wake has had one really bad game this year, losing to William & Mary as a 16-point favorite. Their only other loss was at Purdue which no one expected them to win. Outside of that they have won eight games including three on the road. Greensboro has only won twice this season, once vs. USC Upstate (who?) and once vs. the College of Charleston. They have covered the spread just once in their last nine tries. With Wake holding opponents to 62.6 per game, and UNC scoring just 62 per game, Wake should run away with this one. Greensboro is just 3-13 ATS in their last 15 games vs. teams at .800 or better and they are 1-9 ATS vs. teams that allow less than 65 points per game. They have also gone just 2-11 ATS at home the past two seasons.
Game: Marshall at Troy (8:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total UNDER 157 -110 (risk 3 to win 2.7)

Marshall has been a powerhouse at home but not so much on the road. Their defense has been about 6 points worse on the road, but their offense is where the real letdown comes. While scoring 94 per game at home, their offense has been horrible on the road where they have averaged just 63 points per game. Troy allows 87 ppg away from home, but 71.3 at home. I like the UNDER in a game in which I feel we have an inflated number.

Game: Portland at Nevada (10:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total UNDER 151.5 -110 (risk 3 to win 2.7)

Portland averages just 61.2 points per game on the road. And, they play better defense away from home too (67 vs. 73 at home). Nevada's defense is poor on the road, but solid at home (71.7 per game). Nevada is 10-1 UNDER the past three seasons after a game in which they committed eight or fewer turnovers. I think this total is set too high and I like the UNDER.

Results: 2-1

NCAA Basketball Picks Resources:


Check out the last five NCAA Basketball Picks Newsletters:

NCAA-Basketball-Picks-December-27-2009
Both of these teams can score, especially Maryland. But, the Terps can also play defense. They have allowed just 63.6 per game this season (61.7 at home). Their games have been going OVER at a high ra...

NCAA-Basketball-Picks-December-23-2009
The Kentucky Wildcats are a young team and are extremely talented, but the focus could be an issue here. This is the last game before the X-Mas break, so many will be thinking of family friends and no...

NCAA-Basketball-Picks-December-22-2009
This is the first game in the Las Vegas Classic, and it should be a good one between the Cougars and the Wolfpack. The Cougars have a lot of options and even with Taverlini struggling, they are off to...

NCAA-Basketball-Picks-December-21-2009
There is no doubt that Providence will try to use their quickness to run up-and-down on the Bulldogs. That is easier said than done vs. this Bulldogs team. They have ventured into BCS-Conference terri...

NCAA-Basketball-Picks-December-20-2009
I really like these three teams today to win their games. They are heavy favorites but by putting them in a three-team moneyline parlay we get nice odds of -165. Rhode Island is undefeated at home, sc...

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