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March Madness Free Picks - April 04, 2009

Today we are dancing again as the Final Four hits the floor in Detriot Rock City! Since March 25, we are hitting 64% for +14.2 units. We feature picks in both Final Four games.

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Today's NCAA Basketball Picks:

Game: Michigan State vs. Connecticut (6:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 2 units on Connecticut -4 (-110) (risk 2 to win 1.8)

The Huskies and the Spartans will open Final Four action this evening. The Huskies have two reasons why they are 31-4, and why they are in the Final Four. In their four tournament games, the Huskies are out rebounding opponents by an unimaginable 17 per game, and at the same time are getting to the line 20 times more per game. Those are going to be huge hurdles for the Spartans to get over. The Huskies also have an answer for everything. The four games have seen four different leading scorers in Price, Walker, Austrie and Robinson. Robinson has been the X-factor for the Huskies with his play over the past month, as he has become a scorer, tenacious rebounder, and shot blocker. Michigan St. just doesn't have all the answers the Huskies do and right now, UConn looks to be peaking at the right time. UConn gets the call.
Game: Villanova vs. North Carolina (8:45 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on North Carolina -7 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7)

The Tar Heels are loaded and seem to glide through the regular season knowing this is where they would be, and this would be where they began to exert some energy, not only offensively but defensively. The Tar Heels can score, everyone knows that, but during the season, they were allowing a lot of points, exerting little effort on the defensive end. The Tar Heels allowed nearly 77 points per game in their last 13, and just relied on their powerful offense to win the game. During the tournament, the Heels have stepped it up on the defensive end allowing just over 66 ppg, while scoring almost 90 themselves. Villanova has had a great run, but they are going to be out-manned at every position. Also, the track-meet style game that propelled them frequently this year is not the right type of team to take down the heels. I like North Carolina by double-digits here.

Results: 1-1

NCAA Basketball Picks Resources:


Check out the last five NCAA Basketball Picks Newsletters:

NCAA-Basketball-Picks-April-02-2009
The Baylor Bears will meet the Penn State Nittany Lions for the NIT Championship at Madison Square Garden. The Bears ended the season looking like a team defeated and ready for an early exit in the Bi...

NCAA-Basketball-Picks-March-31-2009
The Baylor Bears will meet the San Diego State Aztecs in the NIT semifinal round at Madison Square Garden. For Baylor it has been a tale of three seasons. When they have been good they beat teams like...

NCAA-Basketball-Picks-March-25-2009
The Huskies seem to be peaking at just the right time. A.J. Price is playing like an All-American. He averaged 14.6 ppg on the season, but has taken that up to 24.5 ppg over his last six games. Perhap...

NCAA-Basketball-Picks-March-24-2009
Many would believe this Gators team would be disappointed in not being in the NCAA Tournament, and surely they are, but Coach Donovan doesn't allow them to be a no-show. That was evident by last y...

NCAA-Basketball-Picks-March-22-2009
Arizona State, the sixth seed, is just a two-point underdog here to the number three seed. Why so little? Because they have a great shot at winning this. In my bracket, I had ASU making it to the Swee...

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