Nba Basketball Pick Online - November 30, 2008

We won again last night going 3-2 including a win on the 5-unit pick. We're 29-17 (63%) over the past two weeks on the NBA hardwood. Today we have four picks including another 5-unit play...

Today's NBA Basketball Picks:

Game: Portland at Detroit (3:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total UNDER 186.5 -110 (risk 3 to win 2.7)

Portland is off to a great start at 11-6 and they are doing it on defense. On the season, they are holding opponents to 93.5 points per game and over the past five games, it has dropped to 88.4. Detroit of course is winning too. And as usual, this is a defense-first team, especially in games against formidable foes. This total is low, but I expect the game to come in under it as I expect an intense defensive-laden game. Even dating back to last season, the Trailblazers are 31-19 UNDER when facing a winning team (including 27-11 UNDER against teams at .600 or better). Detroit is 34-20 UNDER against winning teams over the same span. During that time, they are 20-5 UNDER against teams that outrebound their opponents by 3+ per game (Portland is outrebounding opponents 49-45 on average). Finally, under coach McMillan, the T-Blazers are 15-3 UNDER after back-to-back 100+ point games.

The Bulls are just 2-7 on the road this season, but I like them to keep this one close. Philadelphia has covered the spread in just one of their last six games overall and in two of their last six as a favorite. Their offense has been dismal of late, averaging just 86.8 points per game over their last five. So, they won't likely be able to take advantage of the Bulls' big weakness - defense. As Derrick Rose gets more games under his belt, he'll get better and better and so will the Bulls. Right now they are a slightly undervalued team. When these two teams last met in March of last season, Philadelphia laid a major beat-down on Chicago, 121-99. The revenge factor will provide an edge here as well. I like Chicago plus the points.

New Jersey, behind the emerging Devin Harris, could actually be a good team. They are already 2-1 on this West Coast road trip and face a Phoenix team that is just 4-4 at home so far this season. Steve Nash is banged up and I look for Harris to do well against him here. The Nets are 5-3 on the road, scoring 104 ppg. Over their last five games they are averaging 111 per game. With the departure of D'Antoni, Phoenix is no longer a run-and-gun scoring team. They are averaging just 97.6 ppg atg home and should not be laying this kind of wood. This should be a high-scoring game in the end as I expect New Jersey to get well over 100. I like the Nets to keep this one quite close, and for the game to go OVER the total.

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Check out the last five NBA Basketball Picks Newsletters:

NBA-Basketball-Picks-November-29-2008
The Pacers are revenging an overtime loss to Orlando eight days ago. In that game, Dwight Howard ate them up and this time they'll find a way to limit his success enough to stay close. While just ...

NBA-Basketball-Picks-November-28-2008
The Toronto Raptors appeared to be heading in the right direction with some skilled players, and last year was supposed to be their breakout year. It just never materialized and again this season the ...

NBA-Basketball-Picks-November-26-2008
There is no disputing the Bucks are an under the radar NBA team. After closing last season at 3-21 and winning just seven after the All-Star break, it is easy to count this team among the bottom feede...

NBA-Basketball-Picks-November-25-2008
It has been a nightmare of a start for the Wizards who are entering this one with just a 1-10 mark. Injuries have once again created hardships for this team that simply doesn't have the depth to o...

NBA-Basketball-Picks-November-23-2008
Golden State has struggled this year after losing Baron Davis in the offseason. They should have Jamal Crawford (acquired from the Knicks) at point for this game and that should help as he's avera...