We rate each pick 1 to 5 units with 5 being the strongest play (read about units).
Risk 1% of your bankroll per unit (never risk more than 5% of total bankroll on any pick).

Game: Utah at San Antonio (9:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 2 units on San Antonio -7.5

Utah is really up against it now, having lost for the first time at home in the playoffs in game 4. They now face elimination in San Antonio, a place where they have not won this century. San Antonio is currently 18-0 against Utah at home and 14-4 ATS. The Spurs have killed the Jazz when Utah has been a more competitive team. When Utah has been a single digit underdog, they have been 0-13 SU and ATS! To make matters more difficult, San Antonio is 46-28 ATS in the Duncan era off a playoff win and better yet, 12-6 ATS off a road win. They are also 5-1 ATS with a line in this range (6.5+) in closeout games at home, winning those 5 by an average margin of 15.4 ppg including 2-0 this year. The Spurs have allowed an average of 81.8 ppg in these games. San Antonio smells blood and will not be a no-show tonight. We see them burrying the Jazz and moving on to the NBA Finals.