Nba Game Predictions - May 29, 2009

We are coming off another 5-unit winner as the Lakers took care of business for us on Wednesday. Tonight we go the other way in game six of this series.

WUNDERDOG 2009 RECENT RESULTS ($100/bet)

SPORT WINS-LOSSES % NET
MLB 6-3 last 9 picks 67% +$460

NBA 292-230 last 522 picks 56% +$12720

NFL 72-44 last 116 picks 62% +$7320

NHL 14-6 last 20 picks 70% +$2340

TOTAL +$22840

Today's NBA Basketball Picks:

Game: Los Angeles Lakers at Denver (9:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Denver -5.5 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7)

The Lakers took control of the series as expected by winning game five in Los Angeles. The Nuggets are now in a must-win situation and will have to lay it all on the line in this one. Lucky for them they are playing in their building where they are very, very tough. If you look at these numbers, what would you think? The Nuggets are 26-96 (27%) from three-point land over the last four games. Carmello Anthony is 28-81 (34.6%) over the last four games. The Nuggets, as a team have not shot over 44% in any of the last four games. Yet they are 2-2 in those games and still scoring 106 points per game to the Lakers 103. This is despite the fact that Kobe Bryant is scoring 32.3 ppg. It confirms what I believed going into this series: The Nuggets are a much more balanced team. Despite not shooting the ball well at all and their star player hitting just 27%, they are outscoring the Lakers, and still getting 106 per game. How would the Lakers be faring if Kobe was shooting 27%? If Melo gets back his groove this game, the Nuggets can blow out the Lakers. Even if he can't, Denver has shown they can still win big by finding points from someone else. It must be remembered that this is still a team that has gone 17-1 at home over their last 18 games. And in the process, they are averaging nearly 115 ppg. They scored 120 points against the Lakers at home and shot just 44% and 29% from three. If they ever put together just an average game offensively, they will win this one by 10 or more. The Lakers tend to play their best when they need to win, and relax otherwise. Their recent 0-5 ATS record after a win surely shows that. The Nuggets have thrived in this role of a medium-sized home favorite. They are 40-15-1 ATS in their last 56 as a favorite of 5-10.5. I will go with the team in need (and honestly the slightly better team right now).

NBA Basketball Picks Resources:

View NBA prior picks here.
Read our 2008 NBA handicapping preview here.
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Hop over to our basketball Game-of-Day-Preview here.
Check out 2008 NBA basketball season prior picks here.
View NBA basketball power rankings here.
View our free NBA picks here.
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Hop over to our NBA against-the-spread records here.
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Check out the last five NBA Basketball Picks Newsletters:

NBA-Basketball-Picks-May-27-2009
The Nuggets and the Lakers have exchanged blows in this series so far, resulting in a 2-2 deadlock through four games. The fact is, these teams are very close and any of these games can go either way....

NBA-Basketball-Picks-May-26-2009
The Magic would be leading in this series three games to none if not for a miracle game-winning three-pointer by LeBron James in game two. It's evident that the Cavaliers have a dilemma in this se...

NBA-Basketball-Picks-May-25-2009
This series has been a very close one with either team capable of owning a 3-0 lead. It's been a statistical dead hea with both teams shooting 44% from the field and 76% from the line. The benches...

NBA-Basketball-Picks-May-24-2009
The Cavs were looking down the barrel of 0-2 in the series until LeBron James hit a miracle 3-pointer to bring the Cavs back from the dead. That shot cost us a bundle as it killed our UNDER pick (by a...

NBA-Basketball-Picks-May-22-2009
The Orlando Magic did what most thought was impossible - grab a game one win in Cleveland after the Cavs were 43-1 at home in meaningful games this season. Orlando’s win seemed especially out of...