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Nba Handicapping - May 22, 2010After taking a few days off, we look to add to our two and a half month record of 92-69 for +38.6 units with two premium NBA selections for you on tonight's game. Series Bet Recommendation... As you know, both the Celtics and Lakers are up 2-0 in their series. This opens up an opportunity for some high-probability bets. This round of the NBA playoffs has been a 7-game affair since 1958. In 59 years, teams that have opened up a 2-0 lead have gone on to win their series 56 times. That's a 95% rate. At that rate, "fair" odds are -1870. You should have to lay $1870 to win $100. Well, we are offered much better odds than that right now on Boston and LA. The Lakers are -1300 and Boston is just -460. I think both of these represent excellent value. To reduce the odds you need to lay, you can parlay these two together at -320. If you don't mind laying $320 to win $100, with a 90%+ chance to win, I recommend you take a look at that. On to today's picks...
 Today's NBA Basketball Picks: Looking at the first two games of this series, Boston appears to have it all over Orlando. Looking at another playoff in the NHL, we saw how quickly things can change in just one game as the Bruins were up 3-0 on the Flyers and promptly lost four in a row. Sometimes after a couple tough losses at home it is good to take to the road and get away from all the media and fans gloom and doom so you can focus the energy on the task at hand. The Magic have a lot in them and have been great in this spot at 21-9 ATS as a road dog of up to 4.5. That includes two road playoff wins at Boston last year. Orlando is 58-37 ATS on the road the past two seasons and as an underdog during that span they are 23-12 ATS. Meanwhile, the Celtics are 28-39 ATS as a favorite this season. It is make or break time for Orlando who historically respond with defense in this situation. I would expect this one to be nothing different. They are 39-12-1 to the UNDER in their last 52 games following an ATS loss. They are also 27-9 to the UNDER after a straight up loss. The last nine times these teams have met defense has gotten the early call as eight of the nine have stayed UNDER the first half total. The third game of a playoff series has a long history of answering the first half under bell with a 244-162 mark in the last 406 games. When leading a playoff series and playing at home, the Celts are 11-1 UNDER in the first-half their last 12. I like the Magic and the first-half UNDER. Results: 1-1 NBA Basketball Picks Resources:
Check out the last five NBA Basketball Picks Newsletters: NBA-Basketball-Picks-May-18-2010 NBA-Basketball-Picks-May-17-2010 NBA-Basketball-Picks-May-16-2010 NBA-Basketball-Picks-May-13-2010 NBA-Basketball-Picks-May-11-2010 |
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