darrell,

We're now 15-4 (79%) over our last 19 NBA picks. Picks in both games tonight.

WUNDERDOG 2006 RESULTS (UNITS)
SPORT	WINS-LOSSES	%	UNITS
NHL	48-18 last 66 picks	73%	+18.7
NBA	15-4 last 19 picks	79%	+11
MLB	45-29 last 74 picks	61%	+9.4
CBB	174-128 last season		+46
NFL	87-62 last season		+25
CFB	66-61 last season		+5
TOTAL			+115.1

My NBA Power Rankings are updated weekly and can be found here.

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Good luck , darrell!

Game: Dallas at San Antonio (8:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 2 stars on UNDER 192

Hand it to San Antonio. There's a reason they dominate the West. Down 3-1 to the Mavs, they've won two straight to tie it up and earn the right to play game seven at home. As Detroit showed yesterday, you don't want to give the best team in the Conference a chance to put you away on their home court. While Dallas was in control a few days ago, now they know they face an up-hill battle. Yesterday's Detroit/Cleveland game totaled 140 points - a full 36 points under the low posted total. A great defensive team, Detroit, went back to their strength and shut down the Cavs who seemed worn out. In this game we get another stellar defensive team at home and I expect a similar outcome with the game going UNDER. This total is posted as one of the higher ones in the series, especially here in San Antonio. The first two games had totals of 182 and 182.5. Why is this total ten points higher? Well, four of the first six have gone OVER. After a low scoring game one, the next four in a row went over. Last game was another low scoring affair (91-86) but despite that, we see the linesmakers post a very high total here. San Antonio, it seems to me, have finally figured out how to slow Dallas down. They've held them to 98 and 91 in the last two games - both closeout games for Dallas. Why should things be different here? Spurs home games have gone UNDER 60-38 over the past two seasons including 24-11 UNDER when the total is between 190 and 199.5. The Spurs have also gone UNDER 47-38 as a favorite this season and 41-25 UNDER vs. Southwest Division opponents the last three seasons. They are also 31-18 UNDER at home following a road game the past two seasons. Finally, the Spurs are 50-33 UNDER at home vs. winning teams over the past three seasons. Dallas, despite their high-powered offense, has gone UNDER 14-6 when playing with two days rest and 22-12 UNDER when the total is set between 190 and 199.5 this season. Versus division opponents this year, Dallas games averaged 186.6 points while San Antonio games averaged 180 points. This sucka goes UNDER the total.

We popped our first and only 5-star pick on the OVER in this matchup last game as 224 points were scored. While not making it quite as strong a play, going strong with the OVER yet again here. The average number of points scored through the first six games in this series has been 224.2. And, that includes one anomoly game - game 3 which was a 94-91 Clippers win. Outside of that one game, no less than 219 points have been scored! The last three games have seen the loser score 106+ points per game. As in other close out games, we are going to see the home team return to their roots. For Detroit and San Antonio, that's defense. For Phoenix, that's run-and-gun. And the beauty of it is, the Clippers don't mind running with Phoenix. They push it nearly as much as the Suns do. The Suns revert to running when looking to revenge a loss as they are 20-9 OVER revenging a loss over the past two seasons. They are also 12-3 OVER revenging a loss in which an opponent scored 110+ points on them. It's as if they say to themselves - "Hey! We are the ones that are supposed to be shooting the lights out. Not them! We'll show them." Games with a total of 200+ with a road team off a home win by 10 points or more facing an opponent off a road game where both teams score 100 or more points have gone OVER 26-11 (70%) over the last 5 seasons. Like this one, like the last three, to go OVER.