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Nbapicks - May 21, 2008

We went 2-0 last night as the game played out exactly as expected. We're hitting 62% for +25.8 units over the past 2.5 weeks. Tonight we have a pick in game one of the Western Conference Finals...

Today's NBA Basketball Picks:

Game: San Antonio at Los Angeles Lakers (9:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on First Half UNDER 99.5 -110 (risk 3 to win 2.7)

The San Antonio Spurs used their experience to rise up in Game 7 on the road to reach the Western Finals against the Lakers. We think the Hornets made some mistakes (see our blog from yesterday on this), but give credit where credit is due. The Spurs took a Game 7 road crowd out of the game. Now they trave to face a Lakers team that likes to get out and run and put up points. It's a stark contrast to the Spurs' style of play as San Antonio prides themselves on their defensive prowess. The Lakers are a well rested (rusty?) team and that bodes well for a low-scoring first-half. We saw the Pistons a bit rusty after their layoff last night. In games with first-half total in this range involving a team that has played four games or less in 10 days, the first-half UNDER has hit to the tune of 82-32 (72%)! You can also look at the history of these teams, as they have played UNDER in the first-half in 22 of the last 35 meetings, including eight of the last ten. The Lakers may take time to get their legs after the layoff and adjust to the Spurs defense which should be in rthym. We'll ride the first-half UNDER here.


NBA Basketball Picks Resources:


Check out the last five NBA Basketball Picks Newsletters:

NBA-Basketball-Picks-May-20-2008
The NBA Eastern Conference Finals begin tonight in Boston. We have watched the Celtics struggle offensively throughout the playoffs on the road but also in their last two home games vs. Cleveland.&nbs...

NBA-Basketball-Picks-May-19-2008
The New Orleans Hornets have lived a life similar to Boston in the playoffs. They have been a perfect 6-0 SU at home and 5-1 ATS. But on the road they are just 1-4 SU and ATS. It has been the the...

NBA-Basketball-Picks-May-18-2008
Boston has been a tale of two teams in the playoffs. They have been completely listless on offense on the road, having yet to find the win column, going 0-6 both SU and ATS. At home it has been a comp...

NBA-Basketball-Picks-May-16-2008
This is a crucial game six and being that it is in Cleveland, we like the UNDER. The Celtics have struggled offensively throughout the playoffs on the road and have yet to break through to the wi...

NBA-Basketball-Picks-May-15-2008
We have watched each of these teams dominate each other at home with all the games resulting in double-digit blowouts. San Antonio is, and always has been, a defense-first team, especially in the play...

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