Free Picks Basketball - May 19, 2008
We dropped our pick last night as the Celtics won by 5 points, but didn't cover. We're 23-15 (61%) for +19.8 units the past two weeks. Tonight we have a pair of 4-unit picks.
Today's NBA Basketball Picks:
Game: San Antonio at New Orleans (8:35 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on New Orleans -4 (-110) (risk 4 to win 3.6)
Pick: 4 units on Game Total UNDER 182.5 -110 (risk 4 to win 3.6)
The New Orleans Hornets have lived a life similar to Boston in the playoffs. They have been a perfect 6-0 SU at home and 5-1 ATS. But on the road they are just 1-4 SU and ATS. It has been the theme right throughout the second round of the 2008 playoffs, as San Antonio is also just 1-4 SU and ATS on the road. For the Hornets it goes a lot deeper, as they are now 18-1 SU at home over their last 19, and what is even more amazing about that, is they would also be 18-1 ATS to a line of -4 in those 19 games. And 15 of those games were against playoff teams! The Hornets are young and inexperienced which you could say will hurt them against the Vet Spurs in a pressure game seven. Or, since they don't know any better, they may just not care and instead go out and do what they have been doing at home all season - win. How can we ignore the fact that this season, San Antonio is an atrocious 9-18 ATS on the road vs. winning teams and 3-14 ATS as a road dog of 6 or less? We can't and we won't. Nor will we forget that the Hornets are a perfect 11-0 ATS this season at home revenging a loss. We like the Hornets. We also like the UNDER as game 7's have been filled with low-scoring games in this round over the years. In the semi-finals games 6 and 7 have produced 18 points per game less on average than games 1-5. San Antonio is 32-19 UNDER vs. winning teams this season while New Orleans is 22-12 UNDER vs. teams at .600 or better. The Spurs are 13-5 UNDER on the road to a total in the 180s while New Orleans is 17-5 UNDER revenging a road loss (11-1 UNDER if that loss was by double-digits). Hornets and the UNDER here.
Results: 1-1
NBA Basketball Picks Resources:
Check out the last five NBA Basketball Picks Newsletters:
NBA-Basketball-Picks-May-18-2008
Boston has been a tale of two teams in the playoffs. They have been completely listless on offense on the road, having yet to find the win column, going 0-6 both SU and ATS. At home it has been a comp...
NBA-Basketball-Picks-May-16-2008
This is a crucial game six and being that it is in Cleveland, we like the UNDER. The Celtics have struggled offensively throughout the playoffs on the road and have yet to break through to the wi...
NBA-Basketball-Picks-May-15-2008
We have watched each of these teams dominate each other at home with all the games resulting in double-digit blowouts. San Antonio is, and always has been, a defense-first team, especially in the play...
NBA-Basketball-Picks-May-14-2008
The Celtics, to be sure will be glad to be back home. They have gotten nothing done in the playoffs on the road, but have dominated at home. Why should things suddenly change here? The men in green ha...
NBA-Basketball-Picks-May-13-2008
The NBA Playoffs have been completely dominated by home teams, as they have been 38-20-2 ATS, which is a 65.5% cover rate. We certainly don't see that trend changing tonight. The better the teams,...
