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Nba Betting Predictions - May 18, 2008

We're off a 2-1 day on Friday, hitting with our 5-unit pick. We're 23-14 (62%) for +22.8 units over the past two weeks.

If you aren't following our baseball picks, you should check them out. We're off a 6-1 Saturday and we've hit 74% for +43 units the past week. If you aren't getting our bases complimentary picks, let us know.

WUNDERDOG 2008 RECENT RESULTS ($100/bet)
SPORTWINS-LOSSES%NET
MLB 20-7 last 27 picks 74%+$4340
NBA 23-14 last 37 picks 62%+$2280
NHL 39-24 last 63 picks 62%+$2860
TOTAL  +$9480

Today's NBA Basketball Picks:

Game: Cleveland at Boston (3:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Boston -8 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7)

Boston has been a tale of two teams in the playoffs. They have been completely listless on offense on the road, having yet to find the win column, going 0-6 both SU and ATS. At home it has been a completely different story, where they are a perfect 7-0 SU, and 5-2 ATS. So why the stark contrast? Most will point to offense but we think it's actually about defense first. The Celtics simply play in your face defense at home, with a great intensity for 48 minutes. They then find more open looks as a result that fuels the offense. The proof is easy to find, as the Celtics have allowed 542 points in seven home games, but 572 in six road games. That's a huge 17.9 ppg difference! Cleveland is a team that really feeds off their home crowd and kills all comers on the boards at home. While the Celtics played great defense in game six, holding Cleveland to 32.9% from the field, second-chance opportunities were plentiful for the Cavs which let them win. On the road, without the crowd cheering on their team and keeping LeBron afloat when he struggles, they are not nearly the same team. The Cavs are 4-12 ATS this season after covering the spread in two straight games. They did a great job at home against a dissapointing Celtics team. But, this game is in Boston and Cleveland is again in trouble. Boston already has five double-digit playoff wins at home, and 32 on the season. We like their chances here to make that 33. Take the Celtics for a nice double-digit convincing home win.


NBA Basketball Picks Resources:


Check out the last five NBA Basketball Picks Newsletters:

NBA-Basketball-Picks-May-16-2008
This is a crucial game six and being that it is in Cleveland, we like the UNDER. The Celtics have struggled offensively throughout the playoffs on the road and have yet to break through to the wi...

NBA-Basketball-Picks-May-15-2008
We have watched each of these teams dominate each other at home with all the games resulting in double-digit blowouts. San Antonio is, and always has been, a defense-first team, especially in the play...

NBA-Basketball-Picks-May-14-2008
The Celtics, to be sure will be glad to be back home. They have gotten nothing done in the playoffs on the road, but have dominated at home. Why should things suddenly change here? The men in green ha...

NBA-Basketball-Picks-May-13-2008
The NBA Playoffs have been completely dominated by home teams, as they have been 38-20-2 ATS, which is a 65.5% cover rate. We certainly don't see that trend changing tonight. The better the teams,...

NBA-Basketball-Picks-May-12-2008
The Celtics have certainly shown to be a two-faced team in the playoffs. On the road, they simply can't get stops on the defensive end and their offense has struggled as well. At home they have co...

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