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Free Basketball Pick - May 15, 2008

All three picks last night came down to the wire. One went our way in the end and the other two did not. We won the LA-Utah OVER by a basket and lost the other two picks by 2.5 total combined points! It was a perfect example last night of how much luck plays a part in this business as we could have easily gone 3-0, 0-3, 2-1 or 1-2 and it was just up to the basketball gods in the end. We're 20-13 (61%) for +15.8 units over the past two weeks. Tonight we have one pick...

Today's NBA Basketball Picks:

Game: New Orleans at San Antonio (9:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total UNDER 184 -110 (risk 3 to win 2.7)

We have watched each of these teams dominate each other at home with all the games resulting in double-digit blowouts. San Antonio is, and always has been, a defense-first team, especially in the playoffs and especially at home. New Orleans understands what they have to do in game 5, and that is come in with the same defensive intensity they have displayed at home. Otherwise they know they are leaving 3-3, and anything can happen at that point. There is a long and decisive history in this round, and specifically in game 6 & 7 when the series comes down to crunch time. The defensive tone begins to prevail more and more. The last 10 years shows game's 1-5 averaging 188.3 ppg while game's 6 and 7 average 170.3 ppg. That is an 18 point dropoff in games that are usually most final and decisive! It's hard to take two top defensive teams, and expect anything other than what history has told us from the past.


NBA Basketball Picks Resources:


Check out the last five NBA Basketball Picks Newsletters:

NBA-Basketball-Picks-May-14-2008
The Celtics, to be sure will be glad to be back home. They have gotten nothing done in the playoffs on the road, but have dominated at home. Why should things suddenly change here? The men in green ha...

NBA-Basketball-Picks-May-13-2008
The NBA Playoffs have been completely dominated by home teams, as they have been 38-20-2 ATS, which is a 65.5% cover rate. We certainly don't see that trend changing tonight. The better the teams,...

NBA-Basketball-Picks-May-12-2008
The Celtics have certainly shown to be a two-faced team in the playoffs. On the road, they simply can't get stops on the defensive end and their offense has struggled as well. At home they have co...

NBA-Basketball-Picks-May-11-2008
We were on the Jazz in game three and we're all over them again in game four. This team is nearly unbeatable at home - one of the best home teams in recent memory. Yet, we get them as a virtual pi...

NBA-Basketball-Picks-May-10-2008
Boston took care of business at home, as they have all playoffs. They completely shut down the Cavs, holding them to 72 and 73 points. In the first half, Cleveland scored 37 and 36 points. But now Bos...

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