NBA Basketball
Premium Edition
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May 15, 2007
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darrell,
Dropped our pick last night as the Spurs fell apart and couldn't hold off the Suns down the stretch. Two games with three selections today.
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We rate each pick 1 to 5 units with 5 being the strongest play (read about units).
Risk 1% of your bankroll per unit (never risk more than 5% of total bankroll on any pick).
Game: Chicago at Detroit (8:00 PM Eastern) Pick: 2 units on Detroit -7
The Pistons will have a chance to closeout the Bulls at home tonight. The Bulls saved face at home with the win in game 4, but we expect a motivated Piston’s team that has shown that when it plays defense, the Bulls have no answers. The Bulls have managed just 77-points per game (PPG) in the three losses and we expect the Pistons will clamp down at home tonight. The Pistons have held opponents to under 100 points in their last 19 home playoff games. The Pistons are at their best when they smell blood. When they are leading or tied in a playoff series, they are a perfect 11-0 at home closing the series out, and their average win has been by 14.8-ppg. Look for the Pistons to put away the Bulls tonight.
Game: Golden St. at Utah (10:30 PM Eastern) Pick: 2 units on Golden St. +4.5 Pick: 2 units on Game Total OVER 217 -110
Utah used an explosive fourth quarter scoring 40 points to put away the Warriors and they will look to close out the series tonight at home. It wasn't just the fourth quarter that plagued the Warriors, it was their overall performance. The last 22 games for Golden St. have seen them play some of the best basketball of any team in the NBA. Looking back at those games and game 4 of this series show why we have not given up on this Golden St. team. That game 4 featured something we don't expect to see again from them. They don't perform like that against a No. 17 ranked defense, on occasion they do vs. top defensive teams such as San Antonio (No. 1) and Dallas (No. 4). If you include those two teams then the 40.5% FG percentage was still their worst in the last 19 games, without them the worst period during their 22-game streak. The 30.8% from beyond the arc was their third worst overall and worst not including the teams mentioned above and their 61.8% FT-shooting was their lowest in 16 games. Golden St. still managed to score 101 points and they had their worst game in all three shooting categories: FG's, 3-pt. FG'S, and FT'S. This is a team that has averaged 112+ppg in the last 22. This series has been high scoring all the way through and even with Golden St. having their overall worst game in months these teams put up 216 points. It would be easy to make an argument that Golden St. should be up 3-1 at this point, but they are not. They will rise above the numbers from game 4, and that means they are in it to the end with lots of points.
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