|
Free Nba Pick - May 10, 2009Our roll continues in the NBA playoffs as we nailed our lone play last night - a +150 winner on the Nuggets outright on the road in Dallas. The Nuggs have proven to be on a mission afterall. In the playoffs we are hitting 60% (37-25) for +36.5 units. Over the past five months we are up an incredible 128.6 units now in the NBA ($100 players up $12,860). Today I like three picks in one game.
 Today's NBA Basketball Picks: We were on the Magic in game three with a very easy 5-unit winner. What's changed for this game? Not much. We have the same line and I still like the Magic. Yes, this is more of a must-win for Boston but the fact remains that right now, without KG in the Boston lineup, the Magic are the better team. Boston can put up a fight but in the end, they don't have the team necessary to beat Orlando - not here at home. Boston has fought valiantly in the playoffs but they seem to be wearing down. They are just 5-5 in the playoffs now, allowing 106.4 points per game. Orlando knows the importance of winning this game. They can either go up 3-1 and in all likelihood clinch the series, or they can head back to Boston tied 2-2. Stan Van Gundy reminded his team after game three that Philadelphia was in this position (up 2-1 after three games) last series and lost the series. I believe Orlando won't let down here. Orlando manhandled Boston last game even without their starting point guard who will be back for this one. The Magic are 25-11 ATS vs. teams scoring 100+ ppg. They are 25-15 ATS this season vs. winning opponents. Magic get the call again here. I also like this game to repeat what we saw last game - low scoring in the first half. This first-half line is actually a half-point higher. Last game snuck under barely but that's only because of a flurry of scoring late in the second quarter. After 1.5 quarters the game looked like it would end the half in the 70s. So we have a unique situation here where this line should be lower, but it's actually higher. These two teams both play a ton of first-half UNDERs and this game should be no different. Boston is 27-18 UNDER in the first half on the road this season while Orlando is 28-16 UNDER at home. In the first-half this season, Boston is 27-12 UNDER as an underdog and 16-7 UNDER revenging a loss. Orlando is 20-10 UNDER after a win and 40-24 UNDER after a very high scoring game (205+ points scored). I like the Magic and the first-half UNDER.Game: Boston at Orlando (8:05 PM Eastern) Pick: 4 units on Orlando -220 (moneyline) (risk 4 to win 1.8) I'm jumping on Orlando on the moneyline as well today. If Boston keeps it close and finds a way to cover the 5-point spread, at least we'll make some with a straight-up Orlando win. Even at -220, this line has value given the very low chance in my opinion that Boston finds a way to win this game. The Magic are 35-10 at home this season and they've won five of their last six here. The single loss was a 2-point fluke vs. Philadelphia. Orlando was up by a million points in that game but let up and somehow Philly pulled off a win. If anything, that's a good thing moving forward. Orlando escaped the series unscathed and now they are on-guard for another stupid letdown. Boston has lost four of their last seven games and they are 2-4 in their last six road games and 7-9 in their last 16. Without Garnett, this team just isn't a dominant team, especially on the road. The Magic have won six of seven meetings the past three seasons here at home. Under Doc Rivers, the Celtics are just 13-35 on the road revenging a loss in which the opponent scored 100+ points. The bottom line is that Orlando has a VERY good chance of winning this game (better than these odds would indicate) so I'll back them on the moneyline. Results: 1-2 NBA Basketball Picks Resources:
Check out the last five NBA Basketball Picks Newsletters: NBA-Basketball-Picks-May-09-2009 NBA-Basketball-Picks-May-08-2009 NBA-Basketball-Picks-May-07-2009 NBA-Basketball-Picks-May-06-2009 NBA-Basketball-Picks-May-05-2009 |
     RSS
FEEDS
Sports Picks
HOME
TO: |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||
