NBA Basketball
Premium Edition |
May 10, 2006 |
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darrell,
Got the win with Cleveland last night. We've now won 4 out of the last 5 nights in the NBA. One pick tonight.
My NBA Power Rankings are updated weekly and can be found here.
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Good luck , darrell!

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Game: New Jersey at Miami (8:05 PM Eastern) Pick: 2 stars on Miami -7
This line quickly jumped from -6 to -7 as most people are seeing this as I am. After an embarrassing game one home loss, I expect the Heat to come out fired up. They are in desparate need of a win. Game one looked bad for Miami as they lost by 12 points as a home favorite. But they actually played well after the first quarter, outscoring New Jersey by 5 points in the final three quarters. Miami put together an 18-3 run in the 3rd quarter which shows me they have heart. It was really that first quarter that killed them as New Jersey scored 38 points and ran out to a 17 point lead. Richard Jefferson led that charge starting out 4-for-4 for 11 points in the first four minutes. Now, Jefferson is hobbled and may not start in this game. Game 2 in the NBA playoffs is all about adjustments. You saw Cleveland do it yesterday, losing by just 6 points after falling by 27 in game 1. Pat Riley and company will adjust here and make sure they don't fall down by 18-5 to start the game. The Heat absolutely need this game. They averaged 102.3 PPG at home this season and no way they follow up that 88 point effort (39% FG) with another bad one. Heat blowout here.
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| How
much to bet? I recommend 1% of your bankroll for every
star. A one-star pick = 1% of bankroll. A five-star pick
= 5% of bankroll. It is strongly recommended that
you never bet more than 5% of your bankroll on any given
game! Remember, there are no such thing as locks.
Never bet over your head and you'll live to see another
day. Approach your bets as an investment that grows steadily
over the long-term. For more, see
my write-up on Bankroll
Management. |
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