Free Basketball Picks - May 07, 2010

We blanked the books 2-0 yesterday for another winning NBA day. Yesterday's sweep added to our torrid three-week run where we have gone 44-21 for +68% and +64 units - putting us at positive units on the season overall.

In case you haven't noticed, I've had Orlando at the top of my Power Rankings for most of the season. They are proving to be the best team in the NBA right now. In the first round, had you played the better team according to my rankings to win their series, you would have gone 7-1. That includes upsets of San Antonio over Dallas and Utah over Denver. The biggest upset call in the second round by the power rankings is San Antonio over Phoenix. The Spurs are down 2-0. Can they come back to win the series? I think they can! You can currently get them at +250 which I think has value. I also believe getting the Celtics at +210 at this point is a positive-EV bet. 

We are back on the NBA floor today with four more premium picks including a pair of 5-unit selections. 

WUNDERDOG 2010 RECENT RESULTS ($100/bet)
SPORT	WINS-LOSSES	%	NET
NFL	46-29 last 75 picks	61%	+$4060
CFB	25-10 last 35 picks	71%	+$6040
MLB	32-18 last 50 picks	64%	+$2410
NBA	81-52 last 133 picks	61%	+$7040
NHL	355-266 last 621 picks	57%	+$16410
PARLAY	7-7 last 14 picks	50%	+$980
WNBA	121-90 last 211 picks	57%	+$5490
TOTAL			+$42430

Today's NBA Basketball Picks:

Game: Cleveland at Boston (7:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 5 units on Boston +1 (-110) (risk 5 to win 4.6)
Pick: 2 units on First Half UNDER 98 -110 (risk 2 to win 1.8)

The Cleveland Cavaliers may have had the best record in the NBA regular season, but they watched the Celtics claim home-court advantage in what is now a best of five series, with three left to be played in Boston. The Celtics have Pierce, Garnett and Allen, but what they didn't expect a couple of years ago was that Rajon Rondo would emerge as one of the top PGs in the NBA. He put on a clinic with 19 assists in game two. The Cavs are becoming to dependant on LeBron, and often get caught watching. He will get his points, but the Celtics simply have more options and are playing aggressive defense. Cleveland has now gone 1-6 ATS as a small road favorite of up to 4.5, while the Celtics weigh in at 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 as a home dog. Game threes have historically played really tight in the first half, with an amazing 60% of such games going UNDER in the first-half UNDER over the past decade and a half. The Celtics have held foes to just 43.4 first-half points in the playoffs this season and they are 30-16 UNDER in the first-half overall in playoff games the past three seasons. These teams can both "D" it up, and I expect this game starts there. I'll go with Boston and the first-half UNDER.

The Phoenix Suns have taken charge with two wins at home. Now the Spurs come home where they have been down right nasty in their last 15 here, posting a 13-2 mark. They swept the three home games vs. the Mavericks, and will be bringing the "A" game here. The Spurs in the Duncan era, rarely get tripped up when they are supposed to win, as they have failed to cover just six times in their last 30 as a playoff favorite. That certainly bodes well for them here vs. a Suns team that has struggled some on the road this season. Both of these teams have been OVER-oriented as they both enter with a five-game OVER streak when facing an opponent with a winning record. It is no wonder why the last five meetings have also eclipsed the total. When San Antonio has faced a really good 3-point shooting team this season (39%+ from beyond the arc), they are a perfect 9-0 OVER. I'll go with San Antonio and the OVER in this one.

Results: 1-3

NBA Basketball Picks Resources:

• Don't forget to read our NBA power rankings here.
• Check out NBA sports book here.
• Check out our updated basketball Game Preview.
• Don't forget to read our basketball prior picks here.
• Take a look at our 2009 season basketball betting preivew here.
• Take a look at our basketball picks blog here.
• Hop over to our 2009 NBA basketball picks season results here.
• View our updated basketball pick.
• Check out our updated NBA basketball odds lines and spreads .
• View NBA basketball ATS recprds here.

Check out the last five NBA Basketball Picks Newsletters:

NBA-Basketball-Picks-May-06-2010
The Atlanta Hawks really fell hard in the series opener as Orlando controlled both ends of the court, and every aspect of the game. This isn't something new for the Magic, who have appeared to ste...

NBA-Basketball-Picks-May-05-2010
The Phoenix Suns took game one in this series and the Spurs look to rebound in game two. The Spurs are long in playoff experience in the Tim Duncan era as they have been here back to the late 90s. Thi...

NBA-Basketball-Picks-May-04-2010
The Magic will present a much stiffer test for Atlanta than did the Bucks. Orlando is 36-7 in this building this year, winning by over 11 points per game on average. When facing good three-point shoot...

NBA-Basketball-Picks-May-03-2010
The San Antonio Spurs have been a fixture in the playoffs since Tim Duncan donned a Spurs uniform. They have been here every year since 1997-98. They have amassed 83 road games, so there is no doubt t...

NBA-Basketball-Picks-May-01-2010
The Boston Celtics took a risk and somewhat mortgaged their future when they signed Ray Allen and Kevin Garnett. They got the championship they coveted in 2008, but slipped last year, and have slipped...