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Basketball Betting Pick - May 01, 2009

We split our picks last night and closed out April on a winning note as we finished at 56%, 45-35 for +26.6 units.

WUNDERDOG 2009 RECENT RESULTS ($100/bet)
SPORTWINS-LOSSES%NET
MLB 43-32 Season-to-Date 57%+$2480
NBA 45-35 last 80 picks 56%+$2660
NFL 72-44 last 116 picks 62%+$7320
NHL 33-32 last 65 picks 51%+$680
TOTAL  +$13140

Today's NBA Basketball Picks:

Game: Atlanta at Miami (8:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Atlanta +5 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total UNDER 182.5 -110 (risk 3 to win 2.7)

The Miami Heat is up against a closeout game, and has not shot the ball well in this series vs. Atlanta. They have trouble matching up with the Hawks, and the proof is in the numbers. The Heat's lowest two outputs offensively during the regular season were 69 points vs. Portland and 73 vs. Atlanta. The playoffs have put two more games in that equation - a 64 point output and 71 point output vs. the Hawks in this series. You can also add in a 79-point output to close the season, but Wade sat out that game. Speaking of Wade, he is the key to all of what Miami does, and great players aren't going to be shutdown, but Atlanta has found a way to limit what he does and make it difficult. Wade has played eight games vs. the Hawks this season and scored above his average in just two of them. The other six games he shot 54-128 or just 42.1%, and just 8-30 from behind the arc, for 26.7%. They have been aware of him all series, and will make it difficult for him to score a ton of points here. That puts pressure on the rest of the Heat offense to step up, and they haven't been able to do it. I like Atlanta here with the points, but I also like this one to go UNDER the total. Miami has had four of their worst offensive outputs of the season vs. the Hawks, and with this being a potential closeout game I look for the defense to be the dominant factor, and will also play this one to finish UNDER the total.

Results: 1-1

NBA Basketball Picks Resources:


Check out the last five NBA Basketball Picks Newsletters:

NBA-Basketball-Picks-April-30-2009
This has been a tremendously exciting series for fans of both teams, as well as basketball fans in general. There have been three games decided in OT and one other was a one-possession decision. Only ...

NBA-Basketball-Picks-April-29-2009
The Denver Nuggets played a perfect game against the Hornets, while the Hornets put on one of their worst exhibitions in the history of the NBA. The end result a ridiculous 58-point Denver win. Tha...

NBA-Basketball-Picks-April-28-2009
The Boston Celtics and Chicago Bulls have locked horns in an exciting series. Tonight, the teams return to Boston tied at two games apiece, and are ready to tip-off a pivotal game five at the Garden t...

NBA-Basketball-Picks-April-27-2009
This has been a strange series through the first three games. Atlanta made a game one statement by blowing out the Heat by 26 points, only to come back on their home court and lose by 15. Then coming ...

NBA-Basketball-Picks-April-26-2009
After many left them for dead after their game one upset loss, Boston has come roaring back to take homecourt advantage back. It hasn't been KG whose on the bench. It hasn't been Pierce or All...

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