NBA Basketball
Premium Edition |
May 01, 2006 |
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darrell,
One pick tonight.
My NBA Power Rankings are updated weekly and can be found here.
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Good luck , darrell!

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Game: Detroit at Milwaukee (8:35 PM Eastern) Pick: 2 stars on Milwaukee +7
The Milwaukee Bucks finally got over the hump and won a must-win game at home to get the series to 2-1. If they had dropped that game they would have faced an impossible feat of coming back from 0-3. The win was more than a blowout for the Bucks because it clearly showed to others and more importantly to them, that they belong in this series and and deserve to win just as much as the once world champs. Detroit will surely come out inspired tonight after such a horrible showing. But, the spread of 7 points for the Pistons to cover against a home dog that needs to even the series is a bit high in my opinion. The Bucks understand the importance of this game - they must win to have any shot. And, they are off a confidence building game. The Pistons continue to struggle as road favorites as they are 0-5-1 of late, while the Bucks are 4-0-1 as a home underdog of 5-10 points. Furthermore, the Pistons are 1-4 in their last 5 meetings in Milwaukee and the Bucks are 4-0-1 ATS in the last 5 games this year. Look for Detroit to win but the Bucks to cover the large number.
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| How
much to bet? I recommend 1% of your bankroll for every
star. A one-star pick = 1% of bankroll. A five-star pick
= 5% of bankroll. It is strongly recommended that
you never bet more than 5% of your bankroll on any given
game! Remember, there are no such thing as locks.
Never bet over your head and you'll live to see another
day. Approach your bets as an investment that grows steadily
over the long-term. For more, see
my write-up on Bankroll
Management. |
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