We rate each pick 1 to 5 units with 5 being the strongest play (read about units).
Risk 1% of your bankroll per unit (never risk more than 5% of total bankroll on any pick).

Game: Toronto at Washington (7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Toronto +4.5

Washington opened the season 17-3 at home, and has since been 9-6, but the expectations have remained the same. They have become over-priced at home, and consequently, are just 5-13 ATS in their last 18 at home. Toronto has been under the radar all season, and is playing as good as any team in the NBA right now. They have a 32-18 record over their last 50 games. To put this in context, Houston has a winning percentage of .639, and came to Washington when Washington was beating everyone at home, and was posted as a road favorite of -1. Here is a Toronto team playing .640 basketball, over the last 50 games and getting 4.5 points, and Washington has not been nearly the same at home, as their 17-3 start. The value here is on Toronto.

Orlando started the season on fire, and then hit a huge skid. Orlando has begun to show signs of being the team they were at the beginning of the season. Orlando is coming off a 7-22 stretch, and has since been 4-3. Indiana is in a huge slump. They have dropped 16 of their last 18 games, and have been even worse on the road. They have lost their last 10 road games and worse than that, they have lost by an average margin of 16.4-points per game (PPG). It is impossible to play on Indiana right now so we will ride with Orlando.

These teams have a long history of not putting a ton of points on the board. They now have a streak that goes back over five years and 19 games without reaching the 200-point plateau, and only five times have they managed as many as 190 points. They have had many an ugly game with totals finishing in the 140 and 150-point range. Utah is also 53-25 to the UNDER when facing teams with a winning percentage of .700+ in the second half of the season. Teams that have failed to cover at least 8 of their last 10 games have been 57-29 to the UNDER. San Antonio is 20-10 to the UNDER, against teams with winning records, and they have been a stellar 29-11 to the UNDER as a favorite of 6.5-9 points.