Free Basketball Picks - March 27, 2008
We took a step backward at 2-4 last night. We are 64% for +62.5 units the past three weeks. Tonight we like one pick and we like it a lot!
Today's NBA Basketball Picks:
Game: Dallas at Denver (8:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 5 units on Denver -9 (-110) (risk 5 to win 4.6)
The Mavericks have played very poorly against the NBA's best teams, but have dominated the weak teams. Over their last 28 games have barely been a .500 team, posting a 15-13 record. They are 14-1 against the sub-.500 teams, and a pathetic 1-12 vs the .500+ teams. They have taken a big blow as their leading scorer, rebounder, and top player, Dirk Nowitzki has gone down with a high ankle sprain. So what has gone wrong? Eddie Jones went down, and took his 20 minute per game contribution out of the rotation. Devon Harris had scored 17+ points in 23 games, and was a scoring threat from the point. But Jason Kidd has been a bust, not scoring at all when he does play. Outside of Nowitzki's shooting, the Mavs have no one else among their top five scorers shooting over 46%. That makes it tough, especially against the high-scoring Nuggets who have averaged 127.4 ppg over their last seven games and have won three straight on the road. The Nuggs have also covered eight of their last nine overall. Dallas beat Denver when they played at home, and Nowitzki scored 36% of their points in the win. Dirk has averaged 32 ppg and 11.5 rpg vs the Nuggets this season. Carmelo Anthony did not play in that game, and when he did early in the season at home the Nuggets won by 13. Denver is poor against great teams on the road but they have been destroying the good teams at home, and now that they are playing as good as they have all season which spells trouble for the Mavs. The Nuggets in home wins on the season win by 15.1 ppg. They have beaten 12 teams with winning records at home by double-digits, and 19 of their 28 home wins have been by 10+ points. They have won their last five at home, all by double-digits. Look for another double-digit home win by the Nuggets here.
NBA Basketball Picks Resources:
Check out the last five NBA Basketball Picks Newsletters:
NBA-Basketball-Picks-March-26-2008
This could be a first-round playoff preview as Detroit is likely to finish as the #2 seed and Toronto as the #7. Detroit got to 50 wins with a gutsy win over Phoenix (with Rip Hamilton in the lineup) ...
NBA-Basketball-Picks-March-25-2008
San Antonio's offense is average at best while their defense is very good. OVer their last five games they have stepped it up, holding opponents to 44.0 ppg in the first half. Orlando has also ste...
NBA-Basketball-Picks-March-24-2008
We said it last time out when we faded the Knicks. They are a bad team, but now a bad team that has packed it in! Evidence shines brightly as the Knicks have fallen behind in the first quarter of...
NBA-Basketball-Picks-March-23-2008
Dallas has lost two straight and can't afford to lose a third in a row here. They ran into the freight train called the Boston Celtics in their last game, losing by 4, despite a good game by Nowit...
NBA-Basketball-Picks-March-22-2008
The Kings give up 106 ppg on the road. Their offense is clicking right now as they have gotten 102.4 per game over their last five. Memphis has scored all season, and also gives up 106 ppg (at home). ...
