We rate each pick 1 to 5 units with 5 being the strongest play (read about units).
Risk 1% of your bankroll per unit (never risk more than 5% of total bankroll on any pick).

Game: Toronto at Boston (7:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total UNDER 197 -110

These teams have played UNDER in 12 of their last 18 games and 4 of the last 5 played at Boston. Boston has been 22-10 to the UNDER vs. teams with a winning record during the second half of the season over the past three years. Toronto has been an UNDER machine in division games, having now gone 17-5 to the UNDER vs. divisional opponents.

Detroit likes to step up the defense when playing teams that can score, especially at home. They have been 33-10 to the UNDER against winning teams during the second half of the season over the past two years. They also have been 30-17 to the UNDER vs. teams that average 99+ points a game. Denver has been 28-15 to the UNDER, as a 3.5-9.5-point underdog, and 11-3 to the UNDER when coming off of a double-digit loss.

Hard to believe this total. Houston has played to only one total at home this year that was as high as 200 points and it took Phoenix as an opponent to do it, and that game fell far under. Houston gives up just 89-points per game (PPG) at home, and these teams have not put up anything close to 200 points in a game in their last three. UNDER is the play here.

Memphis has coverd the spread vs. Phoenis six out of the last seven times the two teams have met here in Phoenix. Yes, the Grizzlies have won just five road games all season but here we get 15 points as a cushion. Phoenix is awesome but not so much against the spread. They are just 14-21 ATS at home this year. Over the past three seasons, they are 18-33 ATS at home vs. losing teams. In their last eleven games this year, they are 1-10 ATS vs. poor defensive teams that allow 99+ per game. Phoenix can really put up some points in a hurry, but after coming home from a road trip, it takes them a bit to get it going. We see Phoenix coming out a bit flat and this game not going as high as you might think. Memphis and the UNDER here.