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Basketball Gambling Pick - March 23, 2010We hit both of our NBA picks last night, lifting us to 19-6 for 76% and +38 units over the last three weeks. Today we are back with another pair of picks.
 Today's NBA Basketball Picks: Charlotte has the best defense in the NBA, allowing just 93.6 points per game. Their offense has been weak all season and has been low-scoring of late. They now face the hapless Wizards who haven't won since February. The Wizards' offense has been horrible of late. All of this adds up to a shaded total that is too low, so there are a few reasons to like the OVER here. When two teams coming off road losses meet, with one team having scored 80 or less, the OVER has been great, hitting 67% (84-42) over the last five seasons. After a game in which they allowed 85 or fewer points, the Bobcats are 22-8 OVER the past three seasons. Washington is 28-13 OVER at home after five straight losses. I'm going contrarian here and taking the OVER.Game: Indiana at Detroit (7:35 PM Eastern) Pick: 3 units on Indiana +4.5 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7) Indiana is in the midst of their worst season since 1988-89. But, they are actually playing good ball right now having won three of four games. "Teams come in here and kind of overlook us," forward Troy Murphy said. "They probably figure that a team with our record would have packed it in by now." It's true - teams don't get up for Indiana. Even a team as bad as Detroit is favored against the Pacers. But, I feel like Indiana is playing harder right now and Detroit really shouldn't be favored against anyone. The Pistons are just 19-34 ATS since last season as a home favorite. There's no reason Indiana can't win this game. At a minimum, I expect it to be close. The Pistons’ defense has gone out the window as they have allowed 111 points per game over their last five. When facing a losing team, Detroit is just 28-43 ATS since last season. They struggle against teams like Indiana that like to hoist up the long-ball. Dating back to last season, Detroit is just 30-48 ATS vs. teams that attempt 18+ three-pointers per game. The Pacers beat Oklahoma City by 11 last game, scoring 121 in the process. This team is 25-13 ATS since last season after scoring 110+ last game. When coming off back-to-back losses this season, the Pistons are just 11-21 ATS. I like Indiana and the points here. Results: 1-1 NBA Basketball Picks Resources:
Check out the last five NBA Basketball Picks Newsletters: NBA-Basketball-Picks-March-22-2010 NBA-Basketball-Picks-March-21-2010 NBA-Basketball-Picks-March-20-2010 NBA-Basketball-Picks-March-19-2010 NBA-Basketball-Picks-March-17-2010 |
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