Free Nba Predictions - March 16, 2008
We delivered again in the NBA last night with a 4-1 +8.8 unit night. We were one bucket away from the 5-0 sweep. We're now 25-13 (66%), for +31.5 units over the past week. Tonight we love the big LA-Houston matchup!
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Today's NBA Basketball Picks:
Game: Los Angeles Lakers at Houston (3:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: 5 units on Houston -3.5 (-110) (risk 5 to win 4.6)
Pick: 4 units on Game Total UNDER 197.5 -110 (risk 4 to win 3.6)
Houston has run off an amazing 21 straight wins, and not a single opponent in their last 19 has scored over 100 points. In those most recent 19 games, the Rockets are allowing just 86.4 ppg. The last nine meetings between these teams (not including OT), has seen the highest scoring game posted at 196, with an average of 180.3 ppg. The Lakers are a completely different team when they can't score. They are 43-6 SU when they score 100+, but a pathetic 2-14 SU and 3-13 ATS when they score under 100. The Lakers have yet to score 100 this season against the NBA's top four defensive teams in terms of points allowed. They got 89 at Detroit, 94 at Boston, 92 and 91 at San Antonio and 93 here in Houston. They are without Pau Gasol tonight too which is a major blow. Home teams that have allowed 80 or fewer points in three straight games are 22-4 ATS the past five season. Houston is 20-11 ATS this season vs. winning teams including 9-1 in their last ten. They are also 20-11 UNDER vs. these teams. We like the hot Rockets to win a game that also goes UNDER the total.
Game: Dallas at Miami (6:00 PM Eastern)Pick: 3 units on Dallas -16 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7)
Dallas hasn't been great on the road this season but Miami has been worse at home. They are 6-27 now at home this season after losing to Orlando on Friday. They have lost five straight at home and are injury-riddled with Marcus Banks out, Udonis Haslem and Earl Barron doubtful and Shawn Marion and Jason Williams probable but not 100%. Dallas is on a roll having won four straight by an average score of 113-90! Big spread but Dallas is clicking on all cylinders right now and Miami is as bad, and beat up, as it gets.
Game: Seattle at Denver (9:00 PM Eastern)Pick: 3 units on Denver -15.5 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7)
Yesterday we backed Boston after their embarrassing loss at home to Utah. They responded after underperforming in such a big way in their last game. In this game we'll go with another of our theories - backing teams off a huge OVERperformance. Denver is off a 137-105 thrashing of Toronto. They covered the 8.5 point spread and with 23.5 points to spare. Now they get the lowly Seattle Supersonics and this game will be no contest. The Nuggets are motivated as they remain 1.5 games behind Golden State for the final playoff spot in the West. Earlier this season Denver beat Seattle 138-106 for their highest point total of the season. They have beaten the Sonics, the worst team in the West, by double-digits three straight times. Seattle gives up 106.5 per game on the road and it's getting worse down the stretch. Over their last five games they have allowed 115.4 per game. With Denver averaging nearly that on offense, watch out for the fireworks here. Denver is 24=11 ATS the past three seasons after a blowout win by 15+ points. PJ Carlesimo-coached teams are 2-14 ATS after allowing 120+ in their last game. Yes, huge spread. But we think Denver covers it.
NBA Basketball Picks Resources:
Check out the last five NBA Basketball Picks Newsletters:
NBA-Basketball-Picks-March-15-2008
For Indiana, it has been a tale of two seasons. The Pacers started off 15-13 then followed that up with multiple injuries and a 10-27 mark over their last 40 games. This has shown the most against the...
NBA-Basketball-Picks-March-14-2008
We have backed the Jazz on the road lately and gotten burned. They have shown us that even when they should have something to prove, they don't do it. Now they face a Celtics team that can seal th...
NBA-Basketball-Picks-March-13-2008
Caron Butler is expected back here but don't expect him to have too much of an impact in his first action. He'll likely test that bad hip against a guy who is lighting it up. LeBron James is a...
NBA-Basketball-Picks-March-12-2008
How can anyone resist at this point? Houston has won 19 times in a row, and covered 17 at the same time. This streak started on Jan 29th, but lost in all this is the fact that the Rockets haven't ...
NBA-Basketball-Picks-March-11-2008
Milwaukee, 6-26 on the road this season, is without two starters here (Mo Williams and Yi Jianlian). They have lost five of six. Washington is also banged up but they are a better team, and they ...
