Nba Picks Free - March 13, 2010

We finished a cool 2-1 yesterday on the NBA wood. Today, we are back with a pair pf picks. Over the last five days, we are gaining steam at 6-1 for +16 units. Two premium picks today.

WUNDERDOG 2010 RECENT RESULTS ($100/bet)
SPORT	WINS-LOSSES	%	NET
NFL	46-29 last 75 picks	61%	+$4060
CFB	25-10 last 35 picks	71%	+$6040
MLB	265-219 last 484 picks	55%	+$8370
NBA	6-1 last 7 picks	86%	+$1600
NHL	268-196 last 464 picks	58%	+$13610
WNBA	121-90 last 211 picks	57%	+$5490
TOTAL			+$39170

Today's NBA Basketball Picks:

Game: Orlando at Washington (7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 2 units on Washington +12 (-110) (risk 2 to win 1.8)

This is a total mismatch on paper, but when you get big road favorites against a poor home team, things seem to change. The road team is usually playing with less than their "A" game, just trying to escape with the easy win while the home team steps it up a notch, trying to take down a top team. The results bear this out. When you put teams in this situation over the last 14 years in the NBA, a dog at home that is getting 11 points or more has been 66-46 ATS, so the mismatch on paper leads to the wrong side. I'll go with Washington in this one.

The Dallas Mavericks have become one of the top teams in the NBA at 45-21. That doesn't mean that they are running away with games. This team has been the worst mid-level to high favorite team the NBA has ever seen. The last 21 times the Mavs have been favored by 5.5 or more points this season they are 1-20 ATS! That is covering less than 5%. The Knicks have done a poor job on the season, but something about this team playing a high-level team triggers their best basketball. The Knicks, in their last 27 games vs. teams with a winning percentage of over .600, are 29-7 ATS. They are also 30-14-1 ATS on the road vs. a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. I'll grab New York in this one.

Results: 1-1

NBA Basketball Picks Resources:

• View our NBA polls here.
• Check out basketball betting here.
• Read our basketball Game-of-Day-Preview here.
• Take a look at our NBA previous picks here.
• View our 2009 basketball season preivew here.
• Hop over to our blog basketball here.
• Updated today: 2009 NBA prior picks.
• Take a look at our free NBA picks here.
• Hop over to our NBA odds lines and spreads here.
• Check out our updated NBA ATS records.

Check out the last five NBA Basketball Picks Newsletters:

NBA-Basketball-Picks-March-12-2010
The New Jersey Nets have become more competitive as their offense has improved steadily throughout the season. The Nets were scoring in the 80s or less in 11 of their first 17 games. They have reverse...

NBA-Basketball-Picks-March-10-2010
The public is lining up on Dallas here as if they knew the final score, with over 80% backing Dallas minus the points. Yes, the Mavs have won 12 in a row, but guess what? The value has got to be on th...

NBA-Basketball-Picks-March-09-2010
The Sixers have lost eight of their last eleven games, scoring just 96.4 points per game during the span. On the season, Philly road games average 201 points per game while Indiana home games also ave...

NBA-Basketball-Picks-March-08-2010
The New Jersey Nets could have packed it in long ago, but to their credit they have fought through a horrifying season, and have advanced their play of late. The Nets are 11-7 ATS in their last 18 gam...

NBA-Basketball-Picks-March-07-2010
Detroit has had their problems on the court this season. Now they have an off-court issue to deal with in Rodney Stuckey's health. While he was released from the hospital, he is not playing and he...