Basketball Pick Pro - March 13, 2009

We return to the NBA hardwood today with six premium plays including a 5-unit pick and a 4-unit selection. Since mid-November, we have posted 63% winning days as we are 199-149 for +104.5 units.

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Today's NBA Basketball Picks:

Game: Houston at Charlotte (7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Houston -1 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7)

The Rockets have turned the corner and moving up at 21-9 and are playing .700 basketball over their last 30 games. Within that stretch was a 21-point thrashing of the Bobcats. The Bobcats put together a six-game winning streak that was snapped by San Antonio, but the schedule might have been more of the reason as five of the six were against teams that are under .500 for the season. The truth is that the Bobcats are just 1-10 SU in their last 11 games against the good teams that are .500 or better. Rockets have been dominating and pure cash against the NBA's Southeast as they are 20-6 ATS in their last 26. Against the NBA's Southwest, the Bobcats have been horrible posting an 11-25-2 mark. The Rockets keep flying high and take this one.

The Bulls are off a stretch that saw them win seven of 10 games, but have returned to form of late as they are just 4-6 over their last 10. They have not been a good road team especially when they have to face a team that is .500 or better. The Bulls are a dismal 4-16 SU on the road against the good teams in the league. The Sixers at 13-5, have shown the ability to beat the under .500 teams on their home floor this season. The Bulls have played at their worst against teams from the NBA's Atlantic Division where they own a money-burning 8-22 ATS mark in their last 30. The Bulls have not had much success in Philly where they stand at 2-5 against the number in their last seven visits. The Sixers get the call here.

The Hawks have played well all year at home. But their last five home tilts have all been against top teams and might get caught relaxing here. They have been caught in this situation for most of the season and as a result, Atlanta owns just a 6-9 ATS mark at home vs. teams under .500. The Pacers have been under the radar all season and at 20-11 ATS in their last 31, it is their testament. They are also 8-3 ATS on the road against .500+ teams in their last 11, and 17-5 ATS overall against them in their last 22. They are certainly giant killers this season. They have been particularly strong off a double-digit loss going 10-1 ATS, so I like them with the points in this spot.

The Boston Celtics are a very banged up team right now. They are missing their PG in Rondo, their enforcer inside in Garnett, and three other key contributors. I'd buy this line with a healthy Celtics’ team, but not the one they will have on the floor tonight. The Grizzlies haven't found many wins, but they have improved enough to be playing way over the line as they are 11-6 ATS in their last 17 games. The injuries have also changed the efficiency of the Celtic defense. What took them 43 games to have occur, has now taken just 20. The Celtics gave up 100+ just 10 times over their first 43 games, but have allowed 100+ in 10 of their last 20. I like the Grizzlies here, as well as the OVER.

The Golden State Warriors have a winning record at home but are under .500 at home vs. teams that are better than .500 on the season, so being a favorite here is suspect. The Mavericks have it going now with three straight wins and covers. The last two Mavericks’ wins were straight-up wins as an underdog - truly indicating they are on an up tick. The Mavs have been feasting on defenseless opponents as they are 8-1 ATS in their last nine vs. a team that allowed 100+ in their last game, which is the norm for the Warriors. The Warriors are also finding life miserable against the NBA's Southwest at 1-7-1 ATS in their last nine. I'm backing the Mavs in this one.

Results: 3-3

NBA Basketball Picks Resources:

• Here we show our NBA record.
• Here we show our 2008 season NBA gambling preview.
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• Take a look at our basketball Game Preview here.
• View our updated 2008 basketball prior picks results.
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• Check out NBA basketball pick here.
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Check out the last five NBA Basketball Picks Newsletters:

NBA-Basketball-Picks-March-11-2009
There's no place like home for both of these teams as each has struggled on the road. The bad news for the Jazz, they are traveling for this one. The Jazz have won 12 straight, but a closer look s...

NBA-Basketball-Picks-March-09-2009
The Miami Heat have something few teams have, and that is a top five player that has elevated his level of play recently. Dwayne Wade is playing like a player possessed of late. In his last eight game...

NBA-Basketball-Picks-March-08-2009
Two of the top teams in the east clash in what should be a good game in Boston. The Celtics have taken care of Orlando twice already this season as they aren't intimidated by Dwight Howard. Boston...

NBA-Basketball-Picks-March-07-2009
Dallas has not only been good at home at 23-8 on the season, they have been perfect at 15-0 vs the teams with a record of under .500 for the season. What they have been able to do is have their way on...

NBA-Basketball-Picks-March-06-2009
The Detroit Pistons are definitely a team on the decline and it is showing up big on their own court that they have had a very difficult time protecting. The Pistons are just 2-8 SU at home in their l...