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Free Nbapicks - March 13, 2008

We went 4-3 last night for a couple of units of profit. Over the past five days we're hitting 58% for +7.9 units. Three plays tonight...

Today's NBA Basketball Picks:

Game: Cleveland at Washington (8:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Cleveland +2.5 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7)
Pick: 4 units on Game Total OVER 193.5 -110 (risk 4 to win 3.6)

Caron Butler is expected back here but don't expect him to have too much of an impact in his first action. He'll likely test that bad hip against a guy who is lighting it up. LeBron James is averaging 37 ppg, 8 rpg and 7.4 apg over his last seven games. In his career vs. the Wizards he has averaged over 30 ppg, 8 rebounds and 6 assists. Cleveland has won 12 of the last 15 vs Washington and here we get some points to boot. The Cavs have been virtually a breakeven team to the posted total all season, having gone 32 OVER and 31 UNDER. There is one exception. When they play on the road vs a team with a sub-.500 record, their games have gone OVER the total to the tune of 13-1-1! Washington is now averaging over 100 points a game in their last six at home, and five of the six have gone OVER. They have given up over 106 ppg in their last four. Lots of value on the OVER indicated by recent, and season long trends. Cavs and the OVER here.


Game: Golden State at Phoenix (10:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Phoenix -6 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7)

A total set near 240? This game, featuring the two highest scoring teams in the Association, should be ridiculous. Golden State has won the two prior matchups, the last one coming by two points. You can bet Phoenix wants this one. We think they'll get it and cruise to an easy win and cover. After winning just three of their first nine games with Shaq in the lineup, Phoenix has won a couple of games in impressive fashion including a 7 point win over the World Champs and a 21 point beat down of Memphis. Phoenix has a slight defensive advantage which will be exacerbated by the location of this game and Shaq clogging the middle. Over the past three seasons, the Suns aer 77-52 ATS vs. winning teams and 63-44 ATS vs. three-point happy teams like Golden State. The Warriros are 20-34 ATS over that span as a road dog of 6 or less. THey are also a terrible 5-16 ATS this season off a home win.


NBA Basketball Picks Resources:


Check out the last five NBA Basketball Picks Newsletters:

NBA-Basketball-Picks-March-12-2008
How can anyone resist at this point? Houston has won 19 times in a row, and covered 17 at the same time. This streak started on Jan 29th, but lost in all this is the fact that the Rockets haven't ...

NBA-Basketball-Picks-March-11-2008
Milwaukee, 6-26 on the road this season, is without two starters here (Mo Williams and Yi Jianlian). They have lost five of six. Washington is also banged up but they are a better team, and they ...

NBA-Basketball-Picks-March-10-2008
LeBron is staking his claim to best player in the NBA. In March he's averaging 41 points per game, hitting over 41% from beyond the arc. The Cavs have won seven of ten and five straight at home. O...

NBA-Basketball-Picks-March-09-2008
The Suns are really in a free-fall right now while San Antonio is being San Antonio again, having won 15 of 17. For the Spurs, it's all about defense as only three teams in their last 27 game...

NBA-Basketball-Picks-March-08-2008
The Warriors have been winning. But against whom? Seattle? Philly? Portland? Charlotte? Miami? Those games have not prepared them for this one against a Magic team that is 40-23 on the season and on t...

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