We rate each pick 1 to 5 units with 5 being the strongest play (read about units).
Risk 1% of your bankroll per unit (never risk more than 5% of total bankroll on any pick).

Game: Sacramento at Cleveland (7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 2 units on Game Total OVER 196 -110

Cleveland has always played in ugly defensive games when inside their own division. Things seem to open up more on the court when they get outside the conference. They have played 81-53 OVER in out of conf. games the last 10 years. Sacramento has played to 22-4 OVER vs teams that make at least 6 three's a game, so we will play this one over the posted total.

The Clippers have been a horror show on the road all season, and especially against the better teams. They have dropped 5 straight to teams with winning records, and 11 of 12 on the season. They have lost 9 of these 12 games by double digits, and have lost the 11 games by an average margin of 15.3ppg. San Antonio on the otherhand, has feasted at home vs the sub .500 teams. They have won 12 of their last 15 by 13 points or more! The average margin in these wins has been 17.3ppg. So we have the best home situation in the NBA, vs the worst road situation in the NBA. We aren't usually on big favorites, but there are too many things pointing to a blowout here to ignore.

Indiana has truly hit the skids. First it was on both ends of the floor. They went from averaging 103ppg in 17 previous games, to a current 9 game run of 86.8ppg. The defense was allowing 103+ in 10 of 11 straight games as well. The offense has not found any answers, but the defense has picked it up. They have now not allowed that same 103 in any of their last 5 games. They have been 24-11 to the under after 3 or more consecutive ATS losses, and 51-33 playing with same season revenge.

These teams have a long history of putting up some points when they meet. The last 15 of 19 have gone over the total. Portland has not been able to stop the scoring teams as they have gone over 21 of 28 vs teams that average 103+. denver is 19-7 to the over at home vs teams with losing records in the 2nd half of the season. They are also 17-4 to the over coming off a road game where they, and their opponent scored 100+. Denver is also 21-10 to the OVER after scoring 105+.

Seattle has been playing no defense at all lately. Last game they gave up 55% from the floor, and the game after they do that, they have played 14 of 17 over. They have now given up 105+ in 2 straight games and they have played 20-9 to the over when that happens their next game. They have also played 18-6 to the over after 3 consecutive losses. Detroit has been 12-5 to the over after failing to cover at least 4 of their last 6.