We rate each pick 1 to 5 units with 5 being the strongest play (read about units).
Risk 1% of your bankroll per unit (never risk more than 5% of total bankroll on any pick).

Game: Dallas at Golden St. (10:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: 2 units on Golden St. +7.5

Dallas is in the midst of their largest winning streak of the season, at 17. They have had previous streaks of 8,13, and 12. There is absolutely no value playing on them right now, as the odds-makers keep juicing the lines. There is opportunity to play against them in the right situation, and tonight there is a lot of value against them. Dallas has been 1-2 ATS  on the road during this 17 game winning streak when they lay 6.5 or more, and they have been just 7-7 when laying 6.5 or more home or away. Golden St. is just 1.5 games out of a playoff spot in the West. If they could win on the road even a little bit, they would be a playoff team for sure. They are amongst the elite teams at home and currently stand at 22-10 on their own court, which is 7th best in the entire NBA. That makes them a .689 team for tonight's game. Golden St. has lost just 4 games all season at home by more than this point-spread. They also have been the best NBA team as a home dog in the last 5 years in the NBA. This season they stand at 5-1 ATS as a home dog, and they are a magnificent 43-23 ATS over the last 5 years. They have not had a losing season as a home dog during this 5 year period. What is even more alluring is the fact that they have not lost a game as a +6 or more at home in their last 12 games, and stand at 10-0-2 ATS in such situation. The last time they lost in this situation was on January 20th, 2003, over 4 years ago! We will take the live dog here.