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Free Nba Expert Pick - March 11, 2009

We took a night of the NBA hardwood last night.  Over the past four months our picks are 197-148 for +102.1 units.  Tonight we come back with three premium plays.

 

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Today's NBA Basketball Picks:

Game: Utah at Atlanta (7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Atlanta -2 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7)

There's no place like home for both of these teams as each has struggled on the road. The bad news for the Jazz, they are traveling for this one. The Jazz have won 12 straight, but a closer look shows eight of those at home and four road wins vs teams under .500. The real streak that applies here is the Jazz have not won a game on the road vs a .500+ team since just before Christmas and they haven't covered against one since just after Christmas. Hawks at 22-7 have been tough all season at home and are now 5-0 ATS in their last five overall vs teams with a winning record. Wrong place for the Jazz, and the Hawks get the call here.
Game: Memphis at Minnesota (8:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Minnesota +2.5 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7)
For just the second time all season Memphis will be favored on the road tonight facing Minnesota. Here is a team that has mustered just four road wins all season in the favorite role? I'm not buying it despite the fact that Minnesota does not have Al Jefferson. This Grizzlies team isn't exactly beating up the competition themselves as they have turned in a 1-10 mark for their last 11 games. The Grizzlies also support a money burning 6-20 ATS mark vs the NBA Northwest and are just 1-4 ATS in their last five tries as a favorite. I'm going with Minnesota in this one.
Game: Los Angeles Lakers at Houston (8:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Houston -3.5 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7)
The Lakers looked like they would easily coast across the finishline with the best record in the NBA and home-court advantage throughout the playoffs, but that isn't so certain anymore as they have now dropped three of their last five games, all three on the road. Cleveland has played lights out at home all season, but the Rockets are now matching them win for win as they are a perfect 13-0 in their last 13 at home. Don't forget they took down a hot Cleveland team here by 19. The Lakers have not gotten the bounce off a loss as they are just 4-11 ATS after losing and with just a day's rest they enter here just 7-19 ATS. Rockets stepping it up on home hardwood with a 9-4 ATS mark vs the last 13 with a winning record. Lakers appear ripe while the Rockets on fire at home, choice here to the Rockets.

Results: 2-1

NBA Basketball Picks Resources:


Check out the last five NBA Basketball Picks Newsletters:

NBA-Basketball-Picks-March-09-2009
The Miami Heat have something few teams have, and that is a top five player that has elevated his level of play recently. Dwayne Wade is playing like a player possessed of late. In his last eight game...

NBA-Basketball-Picks-March-08-2009
Two of the top teams in the east clash in what should be a good game in Boston. The Celtics have taken care of Orlando twice already this season as they aren't intimidated by Dwight Howard. Boston...

NBA-Basketball-Picks-March-07-2009
Dallas has not only been good at home at 23-8 on the season, they have been perfect at 15-0 vs the teams with a record of under .500 for the season. What they have been able to do is have their way on...

NBA-Basketball-Picks-March-06-2009
The Detroit Pistons are definitely a team on the decline and it is showing up big on their own court that they have had a very difficult time protecting. The Pistons are just 2-8 SU at home in their l...

NBA-Basketball-Picks-March-05-2009
It has been a grind for the Mavs of late, who had a muscle tussle last night with San Antonio. Just take a look at the last few days. They played at home against Toronto on Sunday. They then traveled ...

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