Basketball Pick - March 10, 2008
We went 2-2 yesterday. Tonight we have four picks...
Today's NBA Basketball Picks:
Game: Portland at Cleveland (7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total UNDER 188 -110 (risk 3 to win 2.7)
LeBron is staking his claim to best player in the NBA. In March he's averaging 41 points per game, hitting over 41% from beyond the arc. The Cavs have won seven of ten and five straight at home. Over that span, they have held their opponents to just 88.6 ppg. They have only scored 97.8 per game themselves over that stretch. Portland has never fared well against LeBron here in Cleveland and they are going to find the scoring VERY tough. Portland is 22-12 UNDER this season vs. winning teams. They are off a high-scoring 234-point performance vs. New York last game and the T-Blazers are 12-4 UNDER this season after a game in which 205+ points were scored.
Game: Boston at Philadelphia (7:00 PM Eastern)Pick: 4 units on First Half UNDER 98 -110 (risk 4 to win 3.6)
Boston is all about defense. Philadelphia is improving in that area, thanks to a focus there. "I think our defense has been getting better than it has been," Philadelphia coach Maurice Cheeks said. "That's one of the reasons for our surge." The Celtics have allowed just 44 ppg in the first half this season. In division games, it's even lower and over their past five games, it's down to 41.4! They are 9-1 UNDER this season on the road to a total in this range (95-100). The Celts are also 10-2 UNDER this season vs. teams that hit 46%+ from the field. The Sixers allow just 91.6 ppg here at home on the season and we love the 1H UNDER here.
Game: Los Angeles Clippers at Miaimi (7:30 PM Eastern)Pick: 3 units on Los Angeles Clippers +1 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7)
The Clippers haven't done much winning on the road, with just eight wins. They have lost 14 of 15 to teams at .500+ but have gone 7-5 straight-up vs teams under .500. They are also 8-4 ATS vs these teams. Miami has only six home wins all season, and is 4-10 SU vs teams with losing records and just 3-11 ATS. They have dropped their last six as a favorite of 4 or less. The Heat are just 4-22 ATS in their last 26 as a home favorite, so we will ride the Clippers in this one.
Game: Denver at San Antonio (8:30 PM Eastern)Pick: 4 units on San Antonio -7 (-110) (risk 4 to win 3.6)
Denver has shown to be a very potent team on their home floor, capable of beating anyone. But on the road, has been a different story, as they are just 12-18. They have really struggled against the good teams in the league. They have played 16 games on the road vs teams that are .500+, and are a dreadful 4-12 SU and ATS. A bigger concern is that 10 of the 12 losses have come by double-digits, and by an average of 18 ppg! San Antonio has played 14 of its last 20 on the road, with all six home games being put in the win column by an average of 11.5ppg. They will be playing this game with double revenge, as they have dropped two straight at Denver. Spurs by double-digits.
Results: 2-2
NBA Basketball Picks Resources:
Check out the last five NBA Basketball Picks Newsletters:
NBA-Basketball-Picks-March-09-2008
The Suns are really in a free-fall right now while San Antonio is being San Antonio again, having won 15 of 17. For the Spurs, it's all about defense as only three teams in their last 27 game...
NBA-Basketball-Picks-March-08-2008
The Warriors have been winning. But against whom? Seattle? Philly? Portland? Charlotte? Miami? Those games have not prepared them for this one against a Magic team that is 40-23 on the season and on t...
NBA-Basketball-Picks-March-07-2008
The Sixers are 10-3 in their last 13 games, moving into the thick of the Eastern Conference playoff race. They are rolling and need to continue to win to keep their playoff hopes alive. Seattle comes ...
NBA-Basketball-Picks-March-06-2008
San Antonio continues to play great basketball while other teams steal the headlines. The Spurs have won ten straight and have taken over the top spot in the Western Conference. The last three times t...
NBA-Basketball-Picks-March-05-2008
Washington's offense is struggling and facing an Orlando defense that has really picked things up, we expect the Wizards to have trouble scoring here, especially early. The Wiz are averaging just ...
