NBA Basketball
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March 09, 2007
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darrell,
0-1 yesterday.
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We rate each pick 1 to 5 units with 5 being the strongest play (read about units).
Risk 1% of your bankroll per unit (never risk more than 5% of total bankroll on any pick).
Game: Memphis at Atlanta (7:30 PM Eastern) Pick: 2 units on Game Total UNDER 195.5 -110
It sure makes you want to play over when you look at a Memphis total posted below 200. There are some things here that say otherwise however. memphis has played under in 5 of their last 6, and have been 19-6 to the under vs teams that give up 46%+ FG shooting such as Atlanta. They have also been 50-33 in non-conf. games in their last 83 to the under. The last 3 played between these teams including a game this season has shown total points of 185,185, and 169, so we will ride the under here.
Game: Detroit at Denver (9:00 PM Eastern) Pick: 4 units on Detroit -1
Detroit is off of two straight losses, and that in itself spells trouble for the Nuggets. Detroit has been one of the best teams in the NBA in this situation as they have been 11-4 in this spot in the last 3 years. Denver has struggled against the best defensive teams in the NBA as they have been swept by #1 San Antonio by 15, and 9 points, swept by #3 Dallas by 4, and 15 points, and split with #2 Houston, losing by 4, and winning in OT. Look for Detroit to bring the defense with them to Denver and shut down the Nuggets.
Game: La Clippers at Golden St. (10:30 PM Eastern) Pick: 2 units on Game Total OVER 199.5 -110
Hard to understand this total. These teams have met 3 times this season with posted totals of 205,210,211 and have averaged 207.3ppg. Golden st. has not played a game with a posted total under 200 since January 2nd on the road, and not since December 14th at home. if you need a barometer, the last 2 times they have been under 200 at home was vs the two top defenses in the NBA. Houston at 198, and they scored 216, and San Antonio posted at 195, and they scored 213. They have averaged 212ppg in all games, and in their last 6 with a total posted of under 200, they have averaged 209, and gone over 5 of them. This total is off by a good 6-8 points so we will play over here.
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