Nbapicks - March 04, 2008
We hit last night and stand a 60% the past week and a half, for +8 units. Tonight we have two plays...
Today's NBA Basketball Picks:
Game: Golden State at Atlanta (7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Golden State +2 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7)
Golden State must keep winning. The crowded West is an extremely close race and the 9th team looking in at the playoffs will likely be there thanks to one win or loss. The Warriors currently hold the eigth spot but lead the Nuggets by just 1.5 games. Their opponent tonight are close to the eight spot in the east, despite having 11 fewer wins than Golden State. Go figure. You might ask yourself why a 36-22 team is getting points from a 25-33 team. Well, Atlanta has won 13 of their last 19 home games and stand at 18-11 at home on the season. But, let's not forget Golden State is a winning team, even on the road at 15-12. They average 107 per game away from home. The problem is that their defense gives up nearly as many. But Atlanta doesn't have an explosive offense and right now Golden State's offense is taking no prisoners. They have scored 100+ in 22 straight games. They scored 116+ in over half of those (12) and 119+ in nine of those games! Is that something that the Hawks can stop, or keep up with? No way. Against the elite in the West, brute offensive force won't work. But, against a weak Eastern Conference team, it will.
Game: Seattle at Detroit (7:30 PM Eastern)Pick: 4 units on First Half UNDER 100 -110 (risk 4 to win 3.6)
Seattle managed a rare road victory, in OT at Minnesota on Sunday. It was just their sixth road victory this season. Detroit has 22 home wins (to 5 losses) and they are holding foes to 87.1 ppg here. On the season, they are keeping opponents to a full 9 ppg less than their scoring average. If that holds tonight, the Sonics, will score in the mid 80s for the game. We like the Pistons to come out and set the tempo defensively. They are holding opponents to 43.5 per game in the first half. Against the young Sonics, we wouldn't be surprised to see a sub-40 performance tonight. The question is how many Detroit will score. We see somewhere in the 50s and thus, we like the first-half UNDER here a lot. Seattle is 34-23 UNDER in the first half this season including 31-19 as an underdog. They are 9-1 UNDER following a game in which they scored 105+ points and 11-3 UNDER off a win. They are also 21-10 UNDER this season vs. winning teams. We'll go with the first-half UNDER here.
Results: 1-1
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Check out the last five NBA Basketball Picks Newsletters:
NBA-Basketball-Picks-March-03-2008
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NBA-Basketball-Picks-March-01-2008
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NBA-Basketball-Picks-February-29-2008
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NBA-Basketball-Picks-February-28-2008
It's hard to believe the Heat, just two years removed from an NBA Championship, have fallen this hard. They are an NBA worst 2-26 over their last 28 games. They started 12-9 ATS, but have sin...
