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Free Nba Basketball Pick - June 12, 2008

We had a perfect night on Tuesday as we hit both of our official picks on Boston and the UNDER. We also hit with our unofficial recommendation of the Lakers in the first-half. With those two wins, we're sitting at 58% (35-25) for +22.1 units over the past four weeks. Tonight we have two picks...

WUNDERDOG 2008 RECENT RESULTS ($100/bet)
SPORTWINS-LOSSES%NET
MLB 94-56 last 150 picks 63%+$10010
NBA 35-25 last 60 picks 58%+$2210
NHL 44-26 last 70 picks 63%+$3480
TOTAL  +$15700

Today's NBA Basketball Picks:

Game: Boston at Los Angeles Lakers (9:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Boston +7.5 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7)
Pick: 3 units on First Half UNDER 95 -110 (risk 3 to win 2.7)

We've talked all series long about how the so-called experts have this series pegged wrong. It has panned out as Boston took care of their two home games and easily covered the huge game three line, giving LA a scare in the process. The lines have been padded all series long by the oddsmakers, given the public sentiment. In game two the Celtics, the team that was 35-6 at home for the season, and now 12-1 in the playoffs, for a combined 47-7, were posted as an underdog. How could there ever be value on the Lakers? There isn't. Last game the better team got +9.5 points. Boston shot about as bad as they have all season, with Paul Pierce 2-14, Kevin Garnett 6-21, and sharp-shooter Eddie House 2-8. That is a combined 8-43 or under 20%. Despite that, the Celtics stayed within striking distance the entire game! One would think a team shooting 34% on the road vs the Lakers would get blown out of the building, but that was not the case. This is a Lakers team that outside of a lopsided win vs San Antonio at home, has won by just 6, 8, 4, and 7 points now in four of the last five at home in the playoffs. Sasha Vujacic scored 20 points (was averaging 6.6 ppg over the Lakers last six playoff games and never scoring double digits) and Kobe was "on" and the Lakers still couldn' t pull away. The Lakers offense that was producing points fast and furious has been slowed by the defensive orientation of Boston and San Antonio. Their home games against these teams have seen the first half total average just 90 points per game and we believe that this one will be no different. First half totals in this range with a well rested team playing four or less games in the last ten days (Lakers), that have a winning percentage of 60-75%, against another winning team have played the first-under in 90 of the last 124 games, or 72.6% of the time. We like defense to rule the roost again and for Boston to again stay close and maybe win.


Results: 1-1

NBA Basketball Picks Resources:


Check out the last five NBA Basketball Picks Newsletters:

NBA-Basketball-Picks-June-10-2008
The so-called experts were convinced the Lakers were the better team entering this series. Nine out of ten ESPN NBA analysts picked LA to win the series. We have said from the start that Boston is the...

NBA-Basketball-Picks-June-08-2008
In our game one writeup we talked about how we feel the Celtics are undervalued in this series. It gets even better tonight as what was a -2.5 point line in the opener, has moved to +1 in game two. Ar...

NBA-Basketball-Picks-June-05-2008
It could be the 80s again as the Celtics and the Lakers square at the Garden for the NBA Championship. After this one is over, these two teams will have combined for half of the 62 NBA Championsh...

NBA-Basketball-Picks-May-30-2008
Last game was a shootout, especially for these two teams. We expect a big reversal here in game six. Boston goes for the close-out while Detroit looks to avoid elimination. Paul Pierce said, &quo...

NBA-Basketball-Picks-May-29-2008
The Spurs have played seven consecutive UNDERs in the playoffs and now with their backs to the walls, they know the only way they can come out of this one in the win column is to match the intens...

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