Free Nba Predictions - June 08, 2008
We started off The Finals with a 2-1 performance in game one, missing the sweep by 1 point. We're 32-23 (58%) for +19.9 units the past month on the hardwood. Tonight we again have three picks on the game...
Have you been watching our MLB performance? We cracked the 100-unit barrier on our current four week run (we're up 102.6 units or $10,260 for $100 players over the past month). It's our best one-month run ever - in any sport.
| WUNDERDOG 2008 RECENT RESULTS ($100/bet) |
| SPORT | WINS-LOSSES | % | NET |
| MLB |
84-46 last 130 picks |
65% | +$10260 |
| NBA |
32-23 last 55 picks |
58% | +$1990 |
| NHL |
44-26 last 70 picks |
63% | +$3480 |
| WNBA |
N/A |
0% | ($) |
| TOTAL | | | +$15730 |
Today's NBA Basketball Picks:
Game: Los Angeles Lakers at Boston (9:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Boston +1 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total UNDER 191 -110 (risk 3 to win 2.7)
In our game one writeup we talked about how we feel the Celtics are undervalued in this series. It gets even better tonight as what was a -2.5 point line in the opener, has moved to +1 in game two. Are we really getting the team with the best overall record, best home record, and best defense as a home underdog? Yes. Are we really getting a team that overcame adversity in game one to win by 10 points as an underdog here? Yes. Are we really getting a team that has won and covered vs. their opponent in every prior matchup this year as an underdog here? Yes! The public's love for Kobe and the Lakers continues to drive what we view as irrational behavior. Yes, Kobe will be pissed and will try to take over game two. But, will it be enough? The vaunted Lakers offense was able to manage just 88 points in the first game, despite Kobe trying to take over in the fourth quarter. It didn't work. We have discussed the fact that Boston has the better overall team. We have furthered our research to find that in addition to that, this matchup vastly favors them. Los Angeles is a premier offense team. Boston is the best defensive team. How have these teams done this year vs. similar competition? Well, vs. teams ranked in the top third of the league in offense (points for), the Celtics were 15-7 (68%). Versus the top-third in FG%, theye wer 13-8 (62%). Pretty amazing, really. How did the Lakers fare vs. the best defensive teams? Versus teams in the top third in points allowed, LA was 15-14 (52%). And, versus the top third in FG% allowed, they were just 13-14 (48%)! Again, we ask you who is the better team here? In game one, Boston held Kobe to 9-for-26 shooting and out-rebounded the Lakers 46-33. Who is the better team? The Celtics are 11-1 at home in the playoffs and they have only lost one game in their last 18 at home. But they are the underdog? Consider that NBA home teams with a good defense (under 92 ppg allowed) coming off an UNDER are 91-19 straight-up the past five years when facing a team with a bad defense (98+ ppg allowed). We'll go against the popular sentiment (but with the stats) and take the Celtics here. We also like the UNDER. The Lakers offense has showed signs in these playoffs that it's really not that stellar. Sure, they score at will vs. bad or average defenses. But, when faced with the pressure of a top defensive team, they look average. The Lakers were held to 93 and 84 vs. the Spurs and 88 last game by the Celts. Boston has now held 13 of 21 opponents to under 90 points in the playoffs including nine of twelve at home. Boston and the UNDER.
Game: Los Angeles Lakers at Boston (9:05 PM Eastern)Pick: 3 units on First Half UNDER 95.5 -110 (risk 3 to win 2.7)
We'll again take the first-half UNDER here. We missed it in game one by one point but we like the same factors as we did then. The Celtics are 15-4 UNDER in the first-half this season when instilled as an underdog. They are also 21-11 UNDER this season vs. good offensive teams (those averaging triple digits). They are 30-17 UNDER int he first half under Doc Rivers at home off a double-digit home win (including 16-5 UNDER the past three seasons).
Results: 1-2
NBA Basketball Picks Resources:
Check out the last five NBA Basketball Picks Newsletters:
NBA-Basketball-Picks-June-05-2008
It could be the 80s again as the Celtics and the Lakers square at the Garden for the NBA Championship. After this one is over, these two teams will have combined for half of the 62 NBA Championsh...
NBA-Basketball-Picks-May-30-2008
Last game was a shootout, especially for these two teams. We expect a big reversal here in game six. Boston goes for the close-out while Detroit looks to avoid elimination. Paul Pierce said, &quo...
NBA-Basketball-Picks-May-29-2008
The Spurs have played seven consecutive UNDERs in the playoffs and now with their backs to the walls, they know the only way they can come out of this one in the win column is to match the intens...
NBA-Basketball-Picks-May-28-2008
We have already watched three of the first four games in this series go UNDER and with the series tied at two games apiece, these teams both know that the game will be won in the h...
NBA-Basketball-Picks-May-27-2008
A quick glance at the 2008 playoffs, especially after round one, shows that the home teams have truly dominated. The Spurs have been as good as ever on their home floor as they have amassed a 7-0...