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Basketball Pick Pro - February 28, 2009

We finished 1-2 last night to give back -3.3 units. Today we return to the hardwood eager to continue our three and a half month winning run. During that time, our NBA premium plays are hitting 57%, 183-136 for +98.2 units. Three plays today with two 4-unit picks.

Today's NBA Basketball Picks:

Game: Oklahoma City at Memphis (8:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on Oklahoma City +7.5 (-110) (risk 4 to win 3.6)

The Oklahoma City Thunder made a bit of a surge after opening the season 3-29. They suddenly got hot and went 8-6, but have reverted to form going winless in their last seven. Or have they? They played those seven games against six teams that are above .500 on the season. They still remain a hot commodity as an underdog as they are 28-11 ATS in their last 39 as a dog. The Grizzlies success this season, what little there has been, can be measured in two runs. They had a 5-1 burst, and a 4-1 run, and sandwiched around it is a 7-44 mark. Unfortunately for them, they are not in such a run right now, and to be a heavy favorite here is certainly not with any value. They have played just eight games all season where they would cover this big a spread. The Thunder has been a cash cow as a dog, so I'll take them here.

Game: Houston at Chicago (8:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: 2 units on Houston +1 (-110) (risk 2 to win 1.8)

The Rockets are a hot team right now posting wins in their last six games. Three of them were to below .500 teams and by an average of 19 points per game. The Bulls have cooled down after a nice run, having won just one of their last four. The Rockets have the defense in order, and after allowing 75 or less in their last game, they have gone 5-1 ATS. The Bulls haven't been doing well against teams that have a losing road record, dropping their last five in this situation. I'm going with the Rockets here, who are on a nice run.

Game: Washington at Milwaukee (8:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on Game Total UNDER 207.5 -110 (risk 4 to win 3.6)

The Milwaukee offense and rotation has really taken a hit with the loss of Alexander, Bogut, and Redd. It appears to be catching up to them after several games over 100 points, they have gone two straight under the century mark. The Wizards are offensively starved on the road where they have reached the century mark just three times in their last 19 games. The Wizards have also played six of their last seven against the NBA Central UNDER, as well as playing UNDER to a 7-3 mark against teams that have a .600 or higher home winning percentage. I like this one to go UNDER the total.

Results: 2-1

NBA Basketball Picks Resources:


Check out the last five NBA Basketball Picks Newsletters:

NBA-Basketball-Picks-February-27-2009
The Lakers continue to roll and are hungry to have the home-court advantage throughout the playoffs, so every game matters. They have taken off again and are 13-1 in their last 14 games, including win...

NBA-Basketball-Picks-February-26-2009
The Cleveland Cavaliers have been the best defensive team in the NBA this season, allowing just over 90 points per game. Houston has also been a !GOOD1! defensive team over the years and this season i...

NBA-Basketball-Picks-February-25-2009
Indiana loves to push the ball up and down the court and when they get against the weaker or sub-.500 team, they are able to impose that will as nine of their last 12 vs that type of team have gone ov...

NBA-Basketball-Picks-February-24-2009
The Spurs had a lot of injury issues early in the season, and the shouts that this team was on the decline were not accurate. They began their home schedule at 5-5 but have since gotten back to their ...

NBA-Basketball-Picks-February-23-2009
The Knicks are getting comfortable with the Mike D'Antoni high-octane offense as they have scored 100+ in each of their last 16 games. That has translated well for them as they are 12-4 ATS in tho...

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