Free Nba Pick - February 27, 2009

We nailed our 5-unit total play last night to boost our three and a half month NBA run to 58%, 182-134 (+101.5 units). Three more plays today...

Today's NBA Basketball Picks:

Game: Los Angeles Lakers at Denver (9:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Los Angeles Lakers -2 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7)

The Lakers continue to roll and are hungry to have the home-court advantage throughout the playoffs, so every game matters. They have taken off again and are 13-1 in their last 14 games, including winning in both Boston and Cleveland. Nuggets appear inconsistent and out of sync right now. They went all of last season without scoring below 80 points in a game, and have now done it twice in the last eight games, with an 82-point performance thrown in there as well. They have dropped three of their last four, and needed a one-point escape at home over Atlanta to keep that from being four out of four. They are facing the wrong team at the wrong time as their "A" game might not be enough, but lately their "A" game is nowhere to be found. The Lakers take charge here.

Charlotte remains the only NBA team in the top 10 in scoring defense with a losing record, but they will have their hands full tonight against a Golden State team they couldn't hold down at home earlier in the season. The Warriors won that one 110-103. It is a Warriors’ team that has scored 100+ in 26 of their 28 home games. When they didn't, they got 98, and 99. They are a hot offensive team right now - one that has averaged 123.8 points per game in their last six home games. Golden State has been a very live home dog. They are 36-15-3 ATS in their last 54 as a home dog, and as a home dog of 1-4.5 they have been 22-8-1 ATS in their last 31. The Warriors have played 20 of their last 29 at home OVER, and as a home dog of 1-4.5, they have played OVER to a mark of 53-26-1 in their last 80. I like the Warriors here as well as the OVER.

Results: 1-2

NBA Basketball Picks Resources:

• Don't forget to visit our basketball prior predictions.
• Check out 2008 season NBA basketball handicapping preview here.
• Don't forget to read our sports betting NBA here.
• View our basketball Game Analysis here.
• Updated today: 2008 basketball prior picks results.
• Check out NBA basketball power ratings here.
• Don't forget to read our basketball predictions here.
• Updated today: NBA spreads.
• Updated today: NBA basketball ATS records.
• View our NBA picks blog here.

Check out the last five NBA Basketball Picks Newsletters:

NBA-Basketball-Picks-February-26-2009
The Cleveland Cavaliers have been the best defensive team in the NBA this season, allowing just over 90 points per game. Houston has also been a !GOOD1! defensive team over the years and this season i...

NBA-Basketball-Picks-February-25-2009
Indiana loves to push the ball up and down the court and when they get against the weaker or sub-.500 team, they are able to impose that will as nine of their last 12 vs that type of team have gone ov...

NBA-Basketball-Picks-February-24-2009
The Spurs had a lot of injury issues early in the season, and the shouts that this team was on the decline were not accurate. They began their home schedule at 5-5 but have since gotten back to their ...

NBA-Basketball-Picks-February-23-2009
The Knicks are getting comfortable with the Mike D'Antoni high-octane offense as they have scored 100+ in each of their last 16 games. That has translated well for them as they are 12-4 ATS in tho...

NBA-Basketball-Picks-February-22-2009
The Celtics are without KG and the Suns are on fire. Phoenix has put up 140+ in all three games since the coaching change. Unfortunately for Phoenix it looks like they will be without Amare Stoudemire...