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Nba Picks - February 21, 2009

We nailed our 5-unit play last night to finish 3-2 for +6.9 units. Last night's winner lifted our three-month NBA run to 58%, 173-126 for a rockin' +106.6 units. Today we are back on the NBA wood with two more premium picks including another 5-unit play.

Today's NBA Basketball Picks:

Game: Sacramento at Dallas (9:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total OVER 213 -110 (risk 3 to win 2.7)

Dirk Nowitski scored nine points last night against Houston. It was just the second time he has scored under 10 this year. The first was all the way back in game three against the Cavaliers. He followed that with a 30-point performance. He will certainly be looking to be more offensive minded here against the defenseless Kings. The Kings are allowing 116.1 points per game in their last 18 - an NBA worst! They are also managing 105 ppg themselves, so defense certainly isn't part of the game plan. These teams played to 228 points in Sacramento in their last meeting. The history here says OVER as the last seven meetings between these teams have all gone OVER. I'll follow the trend and go OVER here.

Game: New Orleans at Utah (9:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 5 units on New Orleans +8 (-110) (risk 5 to win 4.6)

The Jazz have been a top-notch team at home over the last two years as they have dropped just 10 games. The Hornets are no pushover however, and I see value here as the Hornets were the same eight-point dog at the Lakers. Are the Jazz on that same level? There is definately an overlay at work here with the Jazz’s home record, but we don't need a win in this price range. Chances are that the oddsmakers see the Hornets here playing on consecutive nights and juiced the line. What they don't know is that the Hornets have been the best team in the NBA playing in the second game of back-to-back nights as they have turned in a bookie-burning 31-14-3 ATS mark in their last 48 games. There are just too many points here, so I'll grab the Hornets.


NBA Basketball Picks Resources:


Check out the last five NBA Basketball Picks Newsletters:

NBA-Basketball-Picks-February-20-2009
Charlotte is a well-distinguished team. They have one trait that teams with losing records don't usually possess. They play defense. The Bobcats are No. 4 in the NBA in fewest points allowed, the ...

NBA-Basketball-Picks-February-19-2009
This game is always a bruising, physical affair. They met earlier in the season at San Antonio and produced their typical ugly game. The final tally in that one was 166 points. It has been the theme b...

NBA-Basketball-Picks-February-18-2009
The Grizzlies went through a dreadful 2-20 run, but have regrouped and the young talent is beginning to gel. The 22 game stretch featured 14 where the Grizzlies lost by 10+. Things have been different...

NBA-Basketball-Picks-February-17-2009
The break came at the right time for the Hornets as they would like to put an inconsistent and dissapointing first-half behind them. The good news is they came out of it with a 30-20 record and they a...

NBA-Basketball-Picks-February-12-2009
The Bulls have finally awakened and are playing their best basketball in two years. They followed a successful 4-3 road trip with a win at home over the Pistons. They have now gone 7-0-1 ATS in their ...

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