Nba Basketball Pick - February 03, 2010

We failed to connect on our two picks last night, dropping us to 19-14 (58%) for +17 units over the last three weeks. We put that behind us today with five premium picks.

WUNDERDOG 2010 RECENT RESULTS ($100/bet)
SPORT	WINS-LOSSES	%	NET
NFL	45-29 last 74 picks	61%	+$3880
CFB	25-10 last 35 picks	71%	+$6040
MLB	265-219 last 484 picks	55%	+$8370
CBB	124-103 last 227 picks	55%	+$4710
NHL	240-158 last 398 picks	60%	+$17890
WNBA	121-90 last 211 picks	57%	+$5490
TOTAL			+$46380

Today's NBA Basketball Picks:

Game: Golden State at Dallas (8:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Golden State +12 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7)

It would be easy to dismiss a play on Golden State when they take to the road as their 4-21 straight-up mark would make most look to the other side. The fact is that this team is a moneymaker on the road as they are 1-8 straight-up in their last nine, but 7-2 ATS. They are also 6-2 ATS on the season when taking double-digits. The Mavs have really been fighting themselves of late, and there just isn't anything representing an easy game for this team right now. They are just 9-23 ATS in their last 32. What is even more revealing is that they are 0-9 ATS when laying 7 or more. This one might look easy for the Mavs, but it is anything but. I'll go with Golden State here.

The Trailblazers have taken a lot of injury hits, but this team keeps punching back. This team saves their best basketball for playing top teams on the road. The Blazers, despite a break-even mark on the road, are being compensated too much for injuries and have become lethal for grabbing the money. Their last eight on the road vs. a winning team shows a 7-1 ATS mark, with four straight-up wins as a dog, and the lone ATS loss was by a half point. The Jazz’s Achilles heel has been playing vs. the Northwest where they have turned in just a 3-9-1 ATS mark in their last 13. The Blazers are getting it done, and have to be considered a live dangerous dog here, so I'm going with Portland.

This line is set sky high, but I still think the game goes OVER this total. Denver home games have averaged 214 points per game while Phoenix road games average 217 points per game. They score on average 9 points per game more than their opponents give up on average. Denver allows 102 per game, so it's not unreasonable to see Phoenix get to 110+ here. Denver averages 107 per game (113 at home). They score 7 points more than their opponents typically give up. The Suns allow 110 per game on the road, so again, seeing Denver get to 110+ here isn't unreasonable at all. When facing a team that averages 100+ points per game the past three seasons, Phoenix is 60% OVER (60-40). I expect fireworks in this game and an OVER.

This is the first of eight straight road games for the Spurs. I think they could get caught here napping. The Kings are 16-31 and the Spurs have won seven in a row against Sacramento. Tony Parker is still questionable and Manu Ginobili is slumping, shooting 31% in his last four games. And, San Antonio's defense has shown some weakness lately, having allowed 103+ in three of their last six games. That's not good when facing a team that averages 106 points per game at home. San Antonio is a losing road team and Sacramento is a winning home team! I like the Kings here.

The Lakers are back at home where they are 23-3 after an eight-game road trip. That might be bad news for under bettors as the Lake Show has averaged 114 points per game in their first home game when coming off a multiple game road trip. The Bobcats, always considered an offensive liability, have changed form. The Bobcats have amazingly averaged 101 ppg in their last 17! They have now played to a 37-18 mark to the OVER on the road vs. a winning team. The Lakers can score, and getting home has proven to be a big offensive spot for them, and Charlotte has also become a 100+ team. I like this one to go OVER the total.

Results: 3-2

NBA Basketball Picks Resources:

• Here we show our NBA spreads.
• Check out NBA against-the-spread records here.
• View our updated basketball sports book reviews.
• View our NBA basketball Game-of-Day-Preview here.
• Take a look at our basketball prior picks here.
• Here we show our 2009 NBA basketball preview.
• View our updated basketball blog.
• View our 2009 NBA basketball pick results here.
• Don't forget to visit our free basketball picks.
• Check out NBA basketball ratings here.

Check out the last five NBA Basketball Picks Newsletters:

NBA-Basketball-Picks-February-02-2010
New Jersey could set the record for single-season losses this season. But, they aren't the only team with problems this season. Detroit has gone 4-19 in their last 23 games. And, they are just 4-1...

NBA-Basketball-Picks-February-01-2010
The Boston Celtics have gotten healthy, but they haven't found any more answers. They lost a heartbreaker in Boston yesterday as Kobe hit a fade away with seven seconds left to give the Lakers the...

NBA-Basketball-Picks-January-31-2010
Yes, this is a high total, but it's not high enough for these teams. Phoenix games are averaging 117 points per game on the road this year. Their last five games have seen an average of ...

NBA-Basketball-Picks-January-29-2010
The Indiana Pacers have gone through a lot of injuries this season. Their running game was stalled, but is healthy again and they are back to fast-paced offense. After a nine-game stretch of scoring j...

NBA-Basketball-Picks-January-28-2010
The Boston Celtics have suffered a lot of injuries this season and are finally getting healthy, but the injuries have certainly affected team chemistry and the C's have been playing way below the ...