Free Picks Basketball - April 29, 2008
We lost both last night as no lead seems to be safe this year for us (Boston up by 10 at end of third and loses game). Oh well. Tonight we have three picks including a 5-unit seleciton.
Today's NBA Basketball Picks:
Game: Dallas at New Orleans (7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 5 units on New Orleans -6 (-110) (risk 5 to win 4.6)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total OVER 194 -110 (risk 3 to win 2.7)
The Mavs got knocked out early from the playoffs last season and this year, with not quite as good a team, they are on their way to getting bounced again. It has been their inability to win against the good teams on the road that has led to their playoff demise. The Mavs are just 3-18 SU on the road vs playoff teams since December 1st and 6-15 ATS. A team with an overall average of over 100 ppg is scoring just 95.3 ppg vs these teams, and a team that allowed just 95.9 ppg is allowing 102.8 ppg. New Orleans has been bombing playoff teams during the season at home and has continued vs Dallas in this series. The Hornets are now 10-1 SU and 10-1 ATS at home vs playoff teams. The Hornets have been a very dominating team at home, where they have gone 31-12-2 ATS as a favorite and 45-22 ATS in their last 67. The Mavs, as we have pointed out, just can't defend the good teams. The result has been 13 of 16 OVERs on the road vs a team with a winning home record, and 11 of their last 12 have gone OVER when they are a dog. The Hornets have played 35-16 to the OVER in their last 51 vs a team with a losing road record. Eight of the Hornets last ten wins at home vs playoff teams have come by double-digits, and they are scoring 106 ppg in their last 11 at home vs teams in the playoffs. We like the Hornets by double-digits, and the OVER in this one.
Game: Utah at Houston (9:30 PM Eastern)Pick: 3 units on Utah +2 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7)
Houston is just not the same team they were mentally and physically coming off the 22-game winning streak. It is a team that lost their inside presence when Yao went down. Out of that winning streak, they are a very mediocre 10-10 in their last 20. Utah is credited with being a lockdown home team, but in case you haven't noticed this team is now 6-3 in their last nine on the road vs playoff teams, including two wins in Houston. The West is so competitve that to close out this series early and rest is a huge advantage for any team. The Hornets know it will minimize the pounding it is going to take in every series. The oddsmakers are saying with this pointspread, that Utah is the better team, and we agree.
NBA Basketball Picks Resources:
Check out the last five NBA Basketball Picks Newsletters:
NBA-Basketball-Picks-April-28-2008
What happened last game? Doesn't really matter to be honest. It was a fluke. Atlanta hadn't come within 10 points of Boston in five losses prior to the last game. That win was their first post...
NBA-Basketball-Picks-April-27-2008
The first three games in this series have seen the following first-half points of 92, 93 and 82. The 82 was here in Washington. We like this one to also go UNDER the first half total. The Cavs ar...
NBA-Basketball-Picks-April-26-2008
This is a must win for the Nuggets who were manhandled in Los Angeles. Not all must-win games result in a win but we like Denver's chances here. This is a team that is night vs. day at home vs. on...
NBA-Basketball-Picks-April-25-2008
This has been a see-saw thus far with Detroit getting embarrassed in a game one upset loss only to win game two by 17 points. They doubled the Sixers' leading scorer Iguodala holding him to 4 poin...
NBA-Basketball-Picks-April-24-2008
Stick a fork in the Rockets. Yes, oftentimes prognosticators overreact to the first two games and pronounce the loser done, only to see them come back and make it a series. This is not one of tho...
