Nba Betting Predictions - April 27, 2008
We dropped all picks last night dropping us to .500 on the playoffs. We look to bounce back today with three picks.
Today's NBA Basketball Picks:
Game: Cleveland at Washington (1:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 2 units on First Half UNDER 93.5 -110 (risk 2 to win 1.8)
The first three games in this series have seen the following first-half points of 92, 93 and 82. The 82 was here in Washington. We like this one to also go UNDER the first half total. The Cavs are 47-38 UNDER in the first half overall this season including 21-10 to a total of 90.5 to 95.5. They are also 24-12 UNDER in the first half as an underdog this season (19-9 as a road dog). They are also 25-13 UNDER in the first half vs. winning teams. Washington is 12-4 UNDER in the first half this season to a line of 90.5 to 95.5. They are 16-5 UNDER in the first half vs. division opponents!
Game: Detroit at Philadelphia (7:00 PM Eastern)Pick: 4 units on Philadelphia +5.5 (-110) (risk 4 to win 3.6)
Detroit just isn't right. There is absolutely zero excuse or explanation for their performance last game. They had evened the series after game two and were back in emotional control. But they gave it all back last game. We take that back - there is an explanation. The Sixers are the better team right now. They are playing harder and have more heart. They believe. They are likely going to upset the Pistons in this series if this keeps up. The linesmakers know the betting public still can't believe this and that's why Philly is getting 5.5 points at home. But, again, they have a very good shot at winning this game outright so the points make it a very attractive play. To make matters worse for Detroit, Antonio McDyess may miss this game with a broken nose. The Sixers are pressuring Detroit into mistakes, holding the Pistons to just 88.7 ppg thus far. While Philly's pressure is killing Detroit, Detroit's lack of pressure is benefitting the Sixers. It's not a surprise as the 76ers are 32-18 ATS this season vs. teams that force under 15 turnovers per game. That includes 20-11 ATS in their last 31 such games. Looking for a Detroit bounceback here? Consider that the Pistons are just 4-12 ATS this season on the road after failing to cover the spread last game. And they are 4-17 ATS the past three seasons on the road after scoring 85 points or less last game. Philly meanwhile is 20-8 ATS this season after having won two of their last three games. Philadelphia is rolling, playing better and smarter and Detroit is in trouble. It's essentially a must-win for Detroit which will mean they will leave it on the court. But with this 5.5 point cushion, we really like the Sixers against the spread.
Game: New Orleans at Dallas (9:30 PM Eastern)Pick: 2 units on First Half UNDER 98 -110 (risk 2 to win 1.8)
In game one, 92 first-half points were scored. Then 118 were scored in game two. Last game 87 were scored. We're going to chalk game two up to an anomoly and look for this one to be low-scoring like games one and three. The Hornets are 45-37 UNDER in the first half overall this season including 19-10 following an ATS loss and 18-8 UNDER when playing a team at .600 or better. They are 25-11 revenging a loss including 14-4 UNDER if the loss was by double-digits. If that double-digit loss was on the road, the Hornets are a perfect 9-0 UNDER in the first half in the revenge game.
Results: 1-2
NBA Basketball Picks Resources:
Check out the last five NBA Basketball Picks Newsletters:
NBA-Basketball-Picks-April-26-2008
This is a must win for the Nuggets who were manhandled in Los Angeles. Not all must-win games result in a win but we like Denver's chances here. This is a team that is night vs. day at home vs. on...
NBA-Basketball-Picks-April-25-2008
This has been a see-saw thus far with Detroit getting embarrassed in a game one upset loss only to win game two by 17 points. They doubled the Sixers' leading scorer Iguodala holding him to 4 poin...
NBA-Basketball-Picks-April-24-2008
Stick a fork in the Rockets. Yes, oftentimes prognosticators overreact to the first two games and pronounce the loser done, only to see them come back and make it a series. This is not one of tho...
NBA-Basketball-Picks-April-23-2008
The Pistons were shocked in game one as nearly a double-digit favorite and that spells trouble here for the Sixers. The Pistons were definitely stung by that loss and now realize they took the game to...
NBA-Basketball-Picks-April-22-2008
Much as we saw the better team prevail in two straight home games in the Cleveland-Washington series, we see the Hornets prevailing yet again tonight in game two. They are just better than Dallas. Whi...
