Nba Free Predictions - April 25, 2010

We posted another winning day in All Sports yesterday going 10-4 for 71% and +14 units.  Those wins included 5-1 on the NBA hardwood at 83% and +10.6 units.  We are now 61-42 for +41.3 units over the past month and a half with our NBA picks.  Today we five premium plays in today's playoff action.

WUNDERDOG 2010 RECENT RESULTS ($100/bet)
SPORT	WINS-LOSSES	%	NET
NFL	46-29 last 75 picks	61%	+$4060
CFB	25-10 last 35 picks	71%	+$6040
MLB	265-219 last 484 picks	55%	+$8370
NBA	61-42 last 103 picks	59%	+$4130
NHL	342-252 last 594 picks	58%	+$16030
WNBA	121-90 last 211 picks	57%	+$5490
TOTAL			+$44120

Today's NBA Basketball Picks:

Game: Boston at Miami (1:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total UNDER 186 -110 (risk 3 to win 2.7)

This series appeared to open up in game three, but that was not really the case. The Heat shot over 50%, the Celtis 48% and the two combined to shoot 80% from the free throw line. I would expect, with the Heat on life support here, for defense, as in games 1 & 2, to be the prevailing factor. Boston has been 11-5 to the UNDER in their last 16 following a straight up win, and the Heat have had some very poor playoff quarter over the past two years. This one stays UNDER the total.

It was pretty obvious after going up 2-0 in this series at home, that the Cavs came out flat in the first period and fell behind by 11 points. They found themselves down 21 points and spent the rest of the game trying to coming back, only to make up 19 of them, falling two points short. The Cavs are 16-6 ATS as a playoff favorite in their last 22 with LeBron and have turned up the "D" after a straight up loss, playing seven of nine to the UNDER in this situation. The Bulls are 21-6 to the UNDER as a home dog of 5-10.5. The Cavs will start with intensity, and I'll play Cleveland and the under here.

The oddsmakers have labeled Dallas the better team here, with San Antonio playing at home and the line below what the normal home court advantage would be. The difference is the experience of the Spurs in the playoffs. Dallas went for 110+ in nine of their last 21 games, but have only averaged 92.7ppg in the three vs the Spurs. The Spurs know how to win with defense, something Dallas has yet to learn. The Mavs have failed in their last four as a dog in the playoffs, while the Spurs are 20-6-2 ATS as a playoff favorite, rarely get caught off guard. San Antonio gets this one.

Think the oddsmakers are living off last year when Denver was the darlings of the playoffs, covering their first 12 games, but since are just 2-5 ATS and have again been a poor road team. The Jazz have been a potent home team for several years and have now won 11 straight at home, discounting the season finale no-show vs Phoenix, and the margins are eye-opening. The Jazz have won the 11 games by an average of 15.8ppg, with just one team coming within nine. The Nuggets are 1-7-1 ATS last nine playoff games on one day rest, while the Jazz are turning out the lights at home with a 23-5-2 ATS mark in their last 30 posted as a 4.5 point favorite or less. Utah in this one.

Results: 3-2

NBA Basketball Picks Resources:

• Updated today: NBA basketball ratings.
• View our updated sports betting basketball.
• Here we show our NBA basketball Game-of-Day Analysis.
• View our updated NBA picks.
• View 2009 season NBA basketball handicapping preview here.
• View blog basketball picks here.
• View our 2009 NBA basketball prior picks here.
• Check out NBA basketball handicapping here.
• View our updated NBA basketball odds.
• Hop over to our NBA ATS records here.

Check out the last five NBA Basketball Picks Newsletters:

NBA-Basketball-Picks-April-24-2010
The Charlotte Bobcats find themselves in a 0-2 hole coming home for game three vs. the Magic. It isn't much of a surprise however, as this young Bobcats team finished the season going 1-10 in thei...

NBA-Basketball-Picks-April-23-2010
The Celtics have been a playoff fixture the past three seasons since bringing in Garnett and Allen to compliment Paul Pierce, giving them the Big Three to compete for a championship. The results have ...

NBA-Basketball-Picks-April-22-2010
The Chicago Bulls aren't even close to being the same offensive team they were a year ago when Ben Gordon was lighting it up vs. the Celtics. This is much more of a half-court team, placing value ...

NBA-Basketball-Picks-April-21-2010
The Bobcats had to answer for Dwight Howard in game one. He blocked nine shots as the Magic won by nine points. I expect more of the same here as Charlotte is simply outmatched, especially on the road...

NBA-Basketball-Picks-April-20-2010
The Atlanta Hawks made a resounding statement to the Bucks that they are here to win and are a rising power in the NBA East. The Hawks opened up a 17 point first quarter lead and cruised. I like their...