We rate each pick 1 to 5 units with 5 being the strongest play (read about units).
Risk 1% of your bankroll per unit (never risk more than 5% of total bankroll on any pick).

Game: Golden State at Dallas (9:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Dallas -9.5

Golden State finished on fire winning nine of ten. They beat Dallas three times. So they have a great shot here getting nearly ten points, right? We don't think so. This is the playoffs and the game is in Dallas. The three Warriors' wins will be on the Mavs minds and this is going to be a statement game for them. This is supposed to be their year and they want the league to know it. Don't forget, this team won a franchise-record 67 games after starting the season 0-4. They put together a 17-game winning streak during Jan, Feb and March. Golden State was just 12-29 on the road this season and below .500 ATS in those games. They allowed opponents to average over 110 points per game against them! That's a full 18 points worse than the Mavs defense. The Mavs were 23-14 ATS this season as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points and they posted 23 double-digit victories this year at home.